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Coronavirus pandemic: All stories
ChinaScience

Coronavirus: the pandemic is now one year old, so when will it be over?

  • Vaccinations are well under way around the world and will subdue the spread but scientists and doctors say the virus may be here to stay in some form
  • WHO’s goal to end the acute phase of the pandemic by late 2021 depends on poor nations having fair access to vaccines

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On March 11, 2020, Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, director general of the World Health Organization, said: “All countries can still change the course of this pandemic”. Photo: WHO/Handout
Simone McCarthy
The World Health Organization declared Covid-19 a pandemic on March 11 one year ago. The question now is when will it be over?
Experts say an end to the pandemic will be less defined than its start, as different countries subdue the disease at different times. But they agree that while vaccines were developed in record time, the virus is here to stay.

“We’re not headed for a Covid-free future,” said Jodie McVernon, director of epidemiology at the Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity in Melbourne. “Really, what we are aspiring vaccines to do for us is hasten the transition [away] from this being a catastrophic, overwhelming epidemic disease with high death rates,” she said.

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Some medical experts say the Sars-CoV-2 virus may become a seasonal infection like the flu, while others say it’s more likely it will just circulate at low levels for years, with the potential for resurgences, which could be complicated by new strains of the virus.

WHO chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus made the pandemic call on the disease 12 months ago when 118,000 people had been reported infected in 114 countries. He said: “All countries can still change the course of this pandemic”.

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Governments chose different methods to protect their populations, and yet the disease has caused more than 2.6 million deaths, the infection of 117 million people and has driven the global economy into the biggest slump in nearly a century.

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