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Coronavirus pandemic
ChinaScience

‘It’s only a matter of time’: bat-human virus spillovers may be very common, study finds

  • Researchers say hundreds of thousands of people might be infected with the bat pathogens each year
  • But much more data needed to firm up the estimate, team says

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Human infections of bat viruses could be more common than previously thought, a new study finds. Photo: AP
Simone McCarthy
Covid-19 has been called a “once in a century” pandemic, but new research suggests that the kind of event thought to have sparked its outbreak – the spillover of a bat virus to people – is more common than previously known.

Some 400,000 people across Southeast Asia and southern China may be infected by Sars-related bat coronaviruses on average each year, though most infections go undetected and may not spread, according to research from a team of emerging infectious disease specialists.

“It seems like a huge number, but when you think about the number of people that live in that region – it’s hundreds of millions of people with a very active wildlife trade, high exposure to wildlife and tens of millions of bats flying out every night ... and eventually you get infected,” co-author Peter Daszak said.

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“Then it’s only a matter of time that one of those viruses is able to take off [into an outbreak].”

The findings, which have yet to be peer reviewed, were released on a preprint server this week.

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