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Climate change science and tech
ChinaScience

Quarter of world’s population at risk from once-in-a-century floods

  • Around 1.8 billion people face a “significant” risk, including hundreds of millions in the world’s two most populous countries – India and China
  • Researchers found that trillions of US dollars of economic activity, accounting for 12 per cent of global GDP in 2020, is threatened by the floods

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Large parts of southern China, including Guangxi region, are currently under water. Photo: AFP
Holly Chik

Around a quarter of the world’s population face a “significant” risk from once-in-a-century floods, a global study has found.

Nearly 70 per cent of the 1.8 billion at risk live in South and East Asia, including 395 million people in China and 390 million in India.

The world’s two largest countries by population combined account for more than one-third of global exposure to a significant risk, which the researchers defined as floods with a depth of 15cm (6 inches) or more.

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Record rainfall in southern China affects 3.75 million people, causes severe economic losses

Record rainfall in southern China affects 3.75 million people, causes severe economic losses

China leads the world in terms of the economic risk from such floods, which have a 1 per cent chance of happening in any given year, with economic activity worth US$3.3 trillion at risk.

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It is followed by the United States at US$1.1 trillion and Japan at US$700 million, according to the study by researchers with the World Bank and Deltares, a Dutch research institute.

In China, the risk is greater along the coast and the Yellow River valley – an area sometimes described as “China’s sorrow” because of its long history of catastrophic floods – according to the article published in the peer-reviewed journal Nature Communications on Tuesday.

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At present parts of southern China are experiencing record levels of rainfall, with 240,000 people being evacuated in the region of Guangxi and a total of 3.75 million affected in some way.

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