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China overtook the US in 2016 to become the global leader in the number of scientific papers published, according to Science magazine. Photo: Shutterstock

China beats US in most-cited science papers, moving to top of new rankings: report

  • China accounts for 27.2 per cent of the world’s most-cited papers, while the US contributes 24.9 per cent, according to report
  • The idea that Chinese research is lacking in quality, though abundant in quantity, is ‘short-sighted’, says policy expert
Science
China has surpassed the United States for the first time to lead the world in the number of most-cited papers, a key indicator of scientific influence, according to a new report.

Between 2018 and 2020, China contributed 27.2 per cent of the world’s most-cited papers – those ranking in the top 1 per cent in terms of citations – while the US accounted for 24.9 per cent, said the “Japanese Science and Technology Indicators” report released on August 9.

Some have pointed to the report as evidence of the rapid rise in the quality – in addition to quantity – of Chinese research.
The notion that Chinese researchers “are putting out a lot of stuff, but it’s not good quality … is just short-sighted”, science policy expert Caroline Wagner from the Ohio State University told Science magazine on August 17.

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According to Science, China overtook the US in 2016 to become the global leader in the number of published papers.

However, a decade ago, it only accounted for 6.4 per cent of the world’s most-cited papers, lagging far behind the United States’ 41.2 per cent, said the report, which is compiled annually by the Tokyo-based National Institute of Science and Technology Policy.

Citations are a standard way for a research paper to refer to earlier works and acknowledge where the paper’s ideas and methods come from. They have become a common measure of the importance and impact of research.

The report uses “fractional counting” to divvy up credit for papers with multiple authors. For instance, if a paper is co-authored by two universities in Japan and one university in the US, Japan receives two-thirds of the credit and the US receives one-third.

This is different from integer counting, a method used by the US National Science Foundation for some studies, which credits each country equally, without considering how many institutions are involved.

Even scientists cannot agree on the best method to use, leading to variations in ranking results. Using the integer counting method, the US still leads China by 3 percentage points in most-cited papers, the Japanese Science and Technology Indicators report noted.

China-US research collaboration seen under threat from geopolitics

Britain, Germany and Australia rounded out the top five in the rankings, accounting for 5.5, 3.9 and 3.2 per cent of the most-cited papers, respectively.

While many people associate highly cited papers with Nobel Prize laureates, that is not necessarily the case, a Nature investigation found in October 2014.

Among the 100 most-cited papers of all time, most described experimental methods that would later become essential in their fields.

For instance, the most-cited scientific paper introduced a test to determine the amount of protein in a solution. It was published by three researchers from Washington University in St Louis in 1951.

Meanwhile, Nobel-winning findings such as DNA’s double helix structure and the accelerating expansion of the universe did not come close to making the top-100 list, the Nature investigation found.

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