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Will China’s mega dam in Tibet bring a water crisis to India? New study gives hint

China’s planned super dam will see water levels rise during dry seasons and control flooding during high-risk periods, data shows

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Water gushes out from the Three Gorges Dam through nine of its flood discharge gates to spare more capacity for incoming floods from upper reaches of the Yangtze River, in central China’s Hubei Province, July 15, 2024. Photo: Xinhua
Stephen Chenin Beijing
On the Tibetan plateau, a super dam will harness the roaring river of Yarlung Tsangpo, generating triple the electricity of the Three Gorges Dam.
But politicians in India, sitting downstream, have voiced fears the dam could be a “water bomb” exacerbating floods in monsoons, or that it could steal water in dry seasons.

Since Beijing approved the project in December last year, there have been lots of discussions, but little proof.

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Now a joint study by Hohai University and China’s Ministry of Water Resources suggested the dam’s impact on the Yarlung Tsangpo could be opposite to India’s fears.

The study draws data from two large dams already working upstream: Zangmu and Jiacha. Measured since 2014 at hydrological downstream, the results are clear: dry seasons get wetter.

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Low flows were up more than 50 per cent in February. Water rose significantly throughout the dry season. India feared drought – the dams brought more water instead.

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