HKU tracking poll has pan-democrats winning 15 geographical seats

An opinion poll has forecast a big victory for the pan-democratic camp in the geographical constituencies in tomorrow's Legislative Council election - but pan- democrats have been warned not to start counting their seats yet.

According to a University of Hong Kong rolling poll, 15 pan-democrats have an "extremely good chance" or "relatively good chance" of winning. Only six Beijing loyalists fall into those categories, it suggests.

In the "super seat" district council constituency, one of the two Democratic Alliance for the Betterment and Progress of Hong Kong candidates - Lau Kong-wah and Starry Lee Wai-king - could lose, according to the poll.

But programme director Dr Robert Chung Ting-yiu said it might be too early for pan-democrats to celebrate, noting that the proportion of undecided voters had risen to about 30 per cent.

"Some people are perhaps still thinking who to vote for or how they should make the best use of their votes to send their favourite candidates to the legislature," said Chung, who noted earlier that the poll's margin of error could make the predictions inaccurate in a close race.

Some 3.2 million electors, those without a vote in another functional constituency, can vote in the "super seat" constituency, so called because the winners will have a bigger mandate.