Beijing’s governing formula may be the same but Hong Kong can never be like Macau
- Beijing has regularly reminded Hong Kong to take neighbouring Macau as a good reference, in particular for plugging national security loopholes
- Hong Kong, having enjoyed decades of special ties with the United States, is likely to be haunted by the ups and downs of China-US relations
This is significant because Hong Kong’s future – and Lam’s as well, in a sense – is being linked to the development of these two issues.
Beijing has been understandably upset over the appearance of American flags at protests in the city, furious at local politicians going all the way to Washington to lobby support for the anti-government movement, and outraged that the US Congress has overwhelmingly passed the Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act signed by President Donald Trump into law. But it had to swallow the hard truth that Hong Kong is under much wider international scrutiny than it would like.
Any mishandling of sensitive issues in Hong Kong would make international headlines and only bring more trouble. That itself makes Hong Kong very different from Macau, which has enjoyed a relatively peaceful 20 years after returning to China, but with a much smaller scale of political and economic impacts internationally.
China-US tension is new normal regardless of Hong Kong human rights bill, but city will change
During my recent business trip to New York, what struck me was the unprecedented interest in the latest news from Hong Kong among many of my American friends. Addressing their curiosity and concern over when and how the turmoil in Hong Kong could end, my honest reply, which many agreed with, was that the direction of China-US relations would be a key factor.
Beijing may still be supporting the embattled Lam for now, but many want to see some changes in Hong Kong’s government, even though she has to hang on for obvious reasons.
The complex situation this city finds itself in requires some real leadership that can take Hong Kong out of troubled waters. Beijing should better acknowledge such sentiment among Hongkongers.