Strong national growth should help lift Hong Kong out of recession this year, financial chief says
- After two years of shrinking gross domestic product, city poised to return to economic expansion in second half of 2021, Paul Chan says
- Mainland China’s rising growth will be crucial for turnaround, as will success in fight against Covid-19, he argues

Beijing’s grand plan to stimulate domestic growth should help lift Hong Kong out of recession by the end of the year, the financial chief has predicted.
While businesses relying on tourism should expect prolonged difficulties, the turnaround after two years of contraction could also be accelerated by progress in containing the coronavirus pandemic, including through a mass vaccination drive, Financial Secretary Paul Chan Mo-po said on Sunday.
Gross domestic product has contracted for five consecutive quarters, declining 3.5 per cent in real terms in the third quarter in 2020 from a year earlier. In 2019, GDP shrank 1.2 per cent. The government estimates the economy will contract by 6.1 per cent in 2020, the most on record. But Chan saw light at the end of the tunnel.

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“The difficulties may still be there in 2021, but the turning point is emerging,” he said on his blog.