A pro-government group that said it collected 1.2 million signatures supporting the government's electoral reform proposal has come under fire for suggesting that result indicated pan-democrats were unlikely to keep their majority of directly elected Legislative Council seats. A pan-democratic lawmaker and a political scientist questioned the claim after Robert Chow Yung, spokesman for the Beijing-loyalist Alliance for Peace and Democracy, made it on Sunday while revealing the result of the alliance's signature drive. He said the number of signatures the alliance collected suggested Hongkongers' support for the pan-democrats was dwindling, as that number was 50 per cent higher than the number of votes pro-establishment candidates received in the 2012 Legco election. Pan-democrats, he said, would need 500,000 more votes than last time to maintain the 57 per cent of the popular vote they won then. They currently have the power to block the government's package, which must pass in Legco by a two-thirds vote. But Ivan Choy Chi-keung, a political scientist at Chinese University, said it was premature to predict results of next year's legislative election. "Even if pan-democrats were to change their stance, they would not base their decision on something that is neither a public opinion poll nor a credible source," Choy said. He reiterated that those who signed the petition were not required to register personal information or present identification, opening it to false or repeated signatures. All 27 pan-democratic lawmakers have vowed to vote against the reform package, which they say deprives voters of a genuine choice of candidates. The package strictly follows Beijing's framework, which stipulates that only two or three candidates endorsed by the majority of a 1,200-member nominating committee can go to a city-wide election when Hong Kong elects its leader by popular vote for the first time in 2017. But Choy said events in the past year, including the Occupy movement and the pan-democrats' filibusters, may harm their chances next year. Civic Party leader Alan Leong Kah-kit, said he did not think Chow ever meant to be scientific: "How can Mr Chow compare his signature campaign to a general election?" Chow said he welcomed evidence of rigged signatures. He said the campaign's margin of error for inappropriate signatures should be within 5 per cent.