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Hong Kong protests
Hong KongPolitics

Hong Kong protests: can opposition win big at Legco elections or will new national security law ruin plans?

  • Opposition bloc holds on to ambitious target of ‘35-plus’ seats, but braces itself for new obstacles
  • Splintered camp continuing discussions on ways to trim its long list of candidates

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The opposition camp scored a landslide win in last year’s district council polls, but their chances of a repeat performance in the Legco elections this September appear uncertain. Photo: Dickson Lee
Kimmy Chung

The anti-government protests that gripped Hong Kong last year shattered long-standing assumptions about the direction political change would take. But as the first weeks of unrest in June turned into months, one realisation grew undeniably clear – the fortunes of opposition lawmakers had taken an astonishing turn.

In November, they scored a landslide victory in local elections, sweeping aside pro-establishment candidates to take control of 17 out of 18 district councils. The camp set its sights on the next prize – winning a majority in the 70-member Legislative Council polls this September. The victory would give them a powerful weapon to block the budget, stall bills, paralyse government and press leaders in mainland China for democratic reforms.

An advantage denied to the opposition ever since the city’s handover to Chinese sovereignty in 1997 was finally in reach. Or so it seemed. Beijing’s surprise introduction late last month of a national security law for Hong Kong that would outlaw acts of subversion, secession, terrorism or conspiring with foreign influences has forced the camp to rethink its strategy with less than three months to go before voters head to the polls. Unpredictability once again reigns.

If we cannot stay united and demonstrate our will to fight back, many protesters will be disappointed
Wu Chi-wai, Democratic Party leader

While admitting that the law threatened their election hopes, opposition leaders have vowed to press on, eager to demonstrate Hongkongers’ resistance to Beijing’s tightening grip on the city.

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“If we cannot stay united and demonstrate our will to fight back, many protesters will be disappointed,” Democratic Party leader Wu Chi-wai said.

That sense of urgency is shared by Benny Tai Yiu-ting, a leader of 2014’s Occupy protests that shut down parts of Hong Kong for 79 days. He is pulling opposition candidates together behind a “35-plus” campaign with a rare primary contest to weed out weaker candidates as a key strategy.
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