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A satellite image shows the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) and the Blue Nile River in Ethiopia on July 12. Ethiopia acknowledged that the dam is filing up, as Sudan reported lower water levels. Photo: Reuters

Ethiopia’s Grand Renaissance dam on Blue Nile filling up, raising tensions with neighbours

  • The African Union is brokering talks between Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan over the project, amid fears it will restrict water supplies downstream
  • Ethiopia said the rising waters are a natural part of the construction process, although it has long planned to fill the reservoir during the rainy season
Africa

Ethiopia on Wednesday acknowledged that water levels behind its mega-dam on the Blue Nile River were increasing, though officials said this was a natural part of the construction process.

The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) has been a source of tension in the Nile River basin ever since Ethiopia broke ground on it in 2011, with downstream countries Egypt and Sudan worried it will restrict vital water supplies.

Addis Ababa has long intended to begin filling the dam’s reservoir this month, in the middle of its rainy season, though it has not said exactly when.

Cairo and Khartoum are pushing for the three countries first to reach an agreement on how it will be operated.

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“The GERD water filling is being done in line with the dam’s natural construction process,” Seleshi Bekele, Ethiopia’s water minister, was quoted by state media as saying on Wednesday.

He did not, however, say whether Ethiopia had taken steps to store the water in the reservoir, which has a capacity of 74 billion cubic metres.

“The government has not stated explicitly whether the water backing up behind the dam is due to the remaining outlets being closed, or whether it is simply water accumulating behind the almost complete structure during the rainy season,” said William Davison, an analyst with International Crisis Group (ICG).

An official at the dam site said heavy rains meant the flow of the Blue Nile was exceeding the capacity of the dam’s culverts to push water downstream.

“We didn’t close and nothing is done … when you see some photos, it looks like the river is getting higher and higher because of the amount of water coming from upstream, which is above the charging capacity of the culverts,” said the official, who spoke on condition of anonymity.

A satellite image of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam on the Blue Nile River in Ethiopia on June 26. Photo: Reuters

A separate official, an adviser at the water ministry who also insisted on anonymity, stressed that water continued to flow downstream.

“As the construction progresses, the water level behind the dam also will rise, so that’s what’s happening, nothing more,” said the adviser.

Ethiopia has long insisted it must start filling the dam’s reservoir this year as part of the construction process, though filling will occur in stages.

Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed reiterated the point in an address to parliament earlier this month.

“If Ethiopia doesn’t fill the dam, it means Ethiopia has agreed to demolish the dam,” he said. “On other points we can reach an agreement slowly over time, but for the filling of the dam we can reach and sign an agreement this year.”

A combination picture of handout satellite images shows the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) on July 25, 2017 (top left), July 20, 2018 (top right), July 3, 2019 (bottom left), July 9, 2020 (bottom right). Photo: Reuters

Seleshi’s comments on Wednesday triggered multiple reports, including from state-affiliated Fana Broadcasting Corporate, that Ethiopia had begun filling the dam’s reservoir – a move that would surely raise strong objections from Egypt and Sudan.

On Wednesday night Egypt’s foreign affairs ministry issued a statement requesting “quick official clarification” about the reports.

Sudan’s irrigation ministry, meanwhile, said in a statement of its own that the country was experiencing “a retreat in the water levels, equivalent to 90 million cubic metres per day, confirming the closure of the GERD’s gates”.

The statement said Sudan rejected “any unilateral actions taken by any party” while negotiations continue.

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Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan are in the middle of trilateral talks overseen by the African Union (AU) to resolve the dispute over the dam.

Ethiopia issued a statement on Tuesday night saying no breakthroughs had occurred so far but that it expected the AU-led talks to continue.

An attempt earlier this year by the United States to broker a deal ended in failure, with Addis Ababa accusing Washington of favouring Cairo.

Davison of ICG said the issue of reservoir filling “should not distract Ethiopia, Sudan and Egypt from their essential task: to keep talking in order to find compromises on the outstanding areas of disagreement”.

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