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Researchers figure out how to correctly value bitcoin - and they say it is ‘substantially’ overvalued

Bitcoin’s actual level of support is four times less than it should be, they said - and there may be several months of volatility ahead

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Gold-plated souvenir bitcoin coins are seen in November last year. a team of scientists believe that bitcoin is massively overvalued, and predict several months of volatility for the digital currency. Photo: AFP
Bloomberg

Given bitcoin’s meteoric rise in 2017, and persistent slump this year, it’s easy to wonder just how much the digital currency is really worth.

Researchers at ETH Zurich say they may have found an answer: Bitcoin’s value is based on the network of people who use it.

And they suspect that the currency is overvalued.

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In this February 11 photo, a huge advertisement of bitcoin is displayed near the Shibuya railway station in Tokyo. Bitcoin researchers find the cryptocurrency overvalued. Photo: AP
In this February 11 photo, a huge advertisement of bitcoin is displayed near the Shibuya railway station in Tokyo. Bitcoin researchers find the cryptocurrency overvalued. Photo: AP 

Researchers at the Swiss university were able to observe how the cryptocurrency’s value rises with participation.

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They used a modified version of a model that assigns networks a value proportional to the square of the number of active users, and an equation that can capture how speculative bubbles evolve and grow.

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