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UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s Brexit strategy is in tatters after members of parliament voted to stop him carrying out his threat to take the UK out of the EU with no deal on October 31. Photo: AP

Will Boris Johnson make history to become the UK’s shortest-serving PM?

  • If last week was a disaster for Britain’s beleaguered prime minister, this week could be worse
As a child his ambition was to be “world king”, according to his sister Rachel. This week UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson could secure his place in history for other reasons – including becoming the shortest-serving leader of Her Majesty’s Government, or perhaps the first to be escorted out of Number 10 Downing Street in handcuffs.

Following one of the most tumultuous weeks of British political history in which he lost his parliamentary majority, Johnson was expected to seek approval from MPs later Monday to call a snap election.

Opposition parties have agreed to vote against his motion, which he would need two thirds of MPs to support to get passed.

Also on Monday, an opposition-led bill blocking a no-deal Brexit that passed through the House of Commons and the House of Lords last week was expected to become law.

It means that if Johnson is unable to secure an agreement with the European Union before its leaders meet on October 19, he will have to ask for an extension to the October 31 deadline of at least three months.

UK PM Boris Johnson and some comic book villains on a wall mural in Sussex. Photo: DPA

Johnson has vehemently objected to the legislation. He says that, by ruling out a no-deal Brexit, parliament has undermined his hand in negotiations with the EU on a revised pact.

Speaking at a press conference flanked by police on Friday, Johnson said he would rather “die in a ditch” than see Britain extend its EU membership again.

If he stands by his word, then he will have to break the law.

This week is likely to be even rockier for Johnson than the last, his first week in parliament since becoming prime minister in July.

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On Tuesday, former Conservative MP Phillip Lee crossed the chamber to join the Liberal Democrats, one of the opposition parties, as Johnson was making a speech – meaning he lost his parliamentary majority of one.

On Wednesday, the government lost by 328 to 301 the first reading of the bill to block a no-deal Brexit as a number of Tory rebels voted with the government.

Britain's Prime Minister Boris Johnson visits a farm near Aberdeen, Scotland. Photo: Reuters

Johnson stripped 21 of them of their Conservative Party membership.

The list included two former chancellors of the exchequer, Ken Clarke, the oldest MP and Philip Hammond as well as Nicholas Soames, the grandson of Winston Churchill.

Soames later accused Johnson of “serial dishonesty”.

Johnson, who only last Monday said he did not want a general election, then made a stab at calling for one in parliament, but did not get the two-thirds majority of votes needed.

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Opposition parties claimed he wanted the election as a plot to make sure the UK left the EU without a deal.

Then on Thursday came the fratricidal blow when his younger brother Jo Johnson, a science and education minister who voted to remain in the EU, resigned on Twitter saying he could no longer take being torn between “family loyalty and the national interest”.

The news came as Johnson met with US Vice-President Mike Pence, who was in London to offer US support to the UK following a no-deal Brexit.

A beleaguered Johnson, who has promised to replace the 20,000 police culled by Johnson’s predecessor Theresa May, a move he supported as a Conservative MP, then took a photo opportunity surrounded by mainly female police cadets.

The US-presidential style pose went badly when one of the police cadets made to stand to attention as Johnson made his speech, fainted.

Britain's Prime Minister Boris Johnson reacts as a student police officer appears to feel unwell. Photo: AFP

On Friday, just about when things seemed they could not get worse, Johnson was criticised by senior police for using them for political gain by making a speech about Brexit.

On Saturday, Amber Rudd, the work and pensions secretary, joined the rebels and resigned from the cabinet and the Conservative Party.

Down but not yet out, Johnson now has only a few options left following last week’s sackings - his party ever more divided.

He could try and get a deal with the EU, even resurrect May’s old withdrawal agreement, but that would incite the wrath of the hard-Brexit Conservative MPs.

Moreover, despite recent reassurances from Johnson that negotiations are going well with the EU, Brussels revealed that there have been no new serious discussions.

“The government is expending a lot of energy to prepare for a no-deal but I have not seen the same level of intensity go into talks with the European Union, who have asked us to present alternative arrangements to the Irish backstop,” wrote Rudd in her resignation letter to the prime minister, referring to an agreement to keep the border open between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland after Brexit.

Johnson could ignore the new law expected to be given royal assent and continue with a no-deal Brexit, but opposition MPs and some of his own party are already planning to pursue him in the courts if he does this.

“The law is the law whether you are prime minister or the lowest and most impoverished citizen in the country,” the former deputy prime minister Michael Heseltine said on Saturday.

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“There are no exceptions to this. You can’t say he is bigger than everyone else or he is a nice guy or he makes funny jokes and therefore we don’t care. Once you set down that road what does a tyrant do next? They get away with it once, they get away with it twice.”

Lord Ken MacDonald, a former director of public prosecutions, told Sky News: “A refusal in the face of that would amount to contempt of court, which could find that person in prison”.

Constitutional expert Hannah White, Deputy Director of the Institute for Government, said if Johnson did break the law, then the most likely thing would be for Queen Elizabeth to sack him.

He could resign, meaning he would become the shortest-serving prime minister ever, beating George Canning who died in office in 1827, after only 119 days in office.

British politician George Canning in 1825. He was UK prime minister for 119 days. Photo: National Portrait Gallery

Even that option isn’t a simple one. Under the terms of the 2011 Fixed Term Parliament Act, he would have to ask for a vote of no-confidence in his own government.

The opposition might not even give it, preferring to leave Johnson stewing in his own juice.

He has another option, much less discussed, but not infeasible given Johnson’s record on changing his mind.

He could decide to call another referendum on Brexit, as many Remainers currently seek.

This would enrage the hard-right of his party – and would lead to a haemorrhage of votes to Nigel Farage’s Brexit Party.

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Farage has already offered to join Johnson in an election pact.

But by holding a referendum, he would end the Brexit conundrum once and for all and at least he would remain as prime minister, albeit for a short while, given that he has no majority in parliament.

Former prime minister Harold Wilson once famously said a week is a long time in politics.

For Johnson, last week must have seemed like an eternity as the country holds its breath to see what this week will bring.

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