President Emmanuel Macron’s absolute majority at risk as France elects new parliament
- France’s parliamentary election is traditionally seen as a confirmation of the presidential result and is deliberately held soon afterwards
- Polls see new left-wing alliance making gains. If it receives a majority, Macron would be forced to appoint a prime minister and a government from this camp
Around 48.7 million registered voters can cast their ballots for the 577 seats in the National Assembly.
But the biggest threat for Macron in the first round of the parliamentary elections does not come from the right. It comes from left-wing veteran Jean-Luc Mélenchon, who has succeeded in uniting the fragmented left camp behind him to knock Macron down a peg or two.
As a shrewd speaker and strategist, he has distinguished himself in a campaign from which Macron had remained distant until the final days. Now Macron’s absolute parliamentary majority is under threat.
In third place, Mélenchon was eliminated in the first round of the presidential election in April despite a strong showing of 22 per cent – but he did not admit defeat.
“Elect me prime minister,” the 70-year-old promptly announced, and declared the parliamentary election to be the third round of voting to decide the balance of power in France.
France’s parliamentary election is traditionally seen as a confirmation of the presidential result and is deliberately held soon afterwards.
The polls see the new left-wing alliance making enormous gains. If it receives a majority, Macron would effectively be forced to appoint a prime minister and a government from this camp.
And even with a relative majority for his own camp, Macron would have to make compromises.
To offer little room for attack, he waited a long time before appointing his new government and, although he is otherwise not at a loss for eloquent speeches and visions, kept his concrete plans under wraps.
It was not a good start for Macron’s second term.
France will also remain an integral part of the West’s united front against the aggressor Russia in the Ukraine conflict.
Meanwhile, a low voter turnout is expected, with only 45 per cent to 49 per cent of people planning to cast their ballots, Brice Teinturier, director of the polling institute Ipsos, told Le Parisien newspaper on Saturday.
“For the French, the presidential election is the decisive vote,” Teinturier said. They would hardly see any benefit in reshuffling the cards in the parliamentary election.
Nevertheless, Macron cannot rely on this, because confidence in the government is low. When it comes to safeguarding the purchasing power of voters amid rising costs – Mélenchon’s core issue – it is acting too slowly from the people’s point of view, the Ipsos boss said.
There has been relative silence regarding Le Pen, who won more than 40 per cent in the run-off election for the highest office of state.
The reason is not a sudden change of mood in France – the right continues to have a lot of support – but the peculiarity of the parliamentary election.
In contrast to the presidential election, local roots count here, and that is not one of Le Pen’s strengths.
The 577 parliamentary seats are allocated according to a complicated first-past-the-post voting system. In the end, only the votes for the winner in the respective constituency count, meaning that only a moderate increase in seats is predicted for Le Pen.
In some French overseas territories, voting had already started on Saturday because of the time difference. The second round of the parliamentary election is on June 19.
