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Bloomberg

Less than three weeks before the UK’s general election, Prime Minister Rishi Sunak was beset by disastrous polls over the weekend that suggest he has little chance of turning his Conservative Party’s fortunes around before the vote on July 4.
After Britain’s two main parties published their election manifestos last week, Keir Starmer’s Labour opposition extended its lead over the Tories in polls by Opinium for the Observer and Savanta for the Sunday Telegraph.
More damagingly for Sunak’s party, seat-by-seat analysis by Survation found Labour to be on course to a large majority, with the Conservatives winning 72 of the 650 seats in the House of Commons, compared with 365 at the last election in 2019.
Nigel Farage’s Reform UK, blamed by many Tories for siphoning off right-wing votes, was forecast to win seven.

Sunak, who has been in office for less than 20 months, insists that he’s still fighting to win.
The UK’s first Hindu prime minister told The Sunday Times that he was guided by the concept of dharma, which he said roughly translates as “doing your duty and not having a focus on the outcomes of it”.
“Work as hard as you can, do what you believe is right, and try, and what will be will be,” he said.
In a sign of concern among senior Conservatives, Transport Secretary Mark Harper on Sunday told BBC TV that defecting voters risked giving Starmer an unassailable majority.
“It’s very clear if you’re somebody who voted for us in 2019 and you want lower taxes and you want to control migration, if you vote for anybody else other than the Conservatives you’re going to get a Labour government with a large majority and a blank cheque,” Harper said.
Robert Jenrick, a former Tory minister and one-time close ally of Sunak, wrote in the Sunday Telegraph that the UK risks “sleepwalking into a very dangerous future”, before pulling apart his own party’s record in government and saying he understood why Conservatives are being drawn to Reform.
“Not only do I understand their frustrations, I share many of them,” Jenrick wrote. “The tax burden is too high, criminal justice system too soft and public services too inefficient. My disagreements with the government on immigration policy meant I resigned from the Cabinet.”
Savanta’s poll put Reform UK on 13 per cent, its highest rating yet by the pollster, while Opinium put the party up two percentage points on 14 per cent, also a record.

Bloomberg’s poll of polls on Friday also had Reform at an all-time high - after a YouGov survey last week put the insurgent party ahead of the Tories for the first time, prompting Farage to declare Reform “the opposition to Labour”.
Reform on Monday was expected to publish its election manifesto, which it’s calling a “contract with the people”. And while Farage said last week that the Conservative Party brand is “done,” he’s also gunning for Labour, as shown by his choice of Merthyr Tydfil in Wales - a Labour seat - for the manifesto launch.
“If you want a picture of what the whole country will be like with a Starmer government and a feeble Conservative opposition, come to Wales,” Farage said in a statement on Sunday.
“Schools are worse than in England, NHS waiting lists are longer than in England, Covid restrictions were even tighter than in England and now Welsh motorists are being soaked by literally hundreds of speed cameras,” he said.
The Scottish National Party is also set to publish its electoral promises this week. Its new leader, John Swinney, sought in a statement late on Sunday to portray Labour as joining the Tories in “offering only cuts, austerity and stagnation”.
Survation’s so-called Multilevel Regression and Post-stratification poll put Labour on 456 seats, the Liberal Democrats on 56, and the SNP on 37, a drop from 48 in 2019. The modeling is based on more than 42,000 interviews conducted between the May 31 and June 13.
Savanta gave Labour a 25-point advantage and said potential “electoral extinction” awaited the Tories. Opinium has Labour leading by 17 points.
Additional reporting by Associated Press


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Scale of Sunak’s UK election challenge laid bare by disastrous polling

A rain-soaked Rishi Sunak announcing the UK election date last month. His party is expected lose by a wide margin. Photo: Reuters


Britain’s Labour Party leader Keir Starmer. Photo: PA via AP

Leader of Reform UK, Nigel Farage. Photo: AFP

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British opposition Labour Party leader Keir Starmer speaks at the launch of the Labour Party’s manifesto, in Manchester on Thursday. Photo: Reuters

Britain’s Labour Party leader Keir Starmer poses for a photograph ahead of his party’s election manifesto launch in Manchester on Thursday. Photo: Reuters

UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak’s and Conservative Party trails the Labour Party by about 20 points in the polls ahead of next month’s election. Photo: Agence France-Presse/Pool

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Nigel Farage during a press conference in London on Monday. Photo: AP

Nigel Farage on Monday. Photo: AFP

Nigel Farage and Donald Trump in 2016. File photo: AP

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Reform UK leader Nigel Farage on the campaign trail. Photo: PA via AP

British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak with French President Emmanuel Macron and US President Joe Biden at the G7 Summit in Italy this week. Photo: AFP

Labour Party leader Keir Starmer. Photo: PA via AP

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British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, addresses the audience during a Sky News election event in Grimsby on Wednesday. Photo: Reuters

Britain’s Labour Party leader Keir Starmer speaks with Sky’s political editor Beth Rigby during the Sky News election debate on Wednesday. Photo: AP

British opposition Labour Party leader Keir Starmer talks to the media, as he visits a nursery during a campaign event in Nuneaton on Monday. Photo: Reuters

News

World

Europe

The UK Conservative Party is headed for a historic wipeout in the July 4 general election, according to weekend polls


The UK Conservative Party is headed for a historic wipeout in the July 4 general election, according to weekend polls.


Rishi Sunak

UK economy

Scale of Sunak’s UK election challenge laid bare by disastrous polling

.css-1mniedq{color:inherit;font-weight:inherit;font-size:inherit;font-family:inherit;line-height:inherit;}The UK Conservative Party is headed for a historic wipeout in the July 4 general election, according to weekend polls

The UK Conservative Party is headed for a historic wipeout in the July 4 general election, according to weekend polls