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Israel-Iran conflict
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US strikes only set back Iran’s nuclear programme by months, early assessment finds

White House furious at intelligence leak by ‘low-level loser’ as Trump blasts US media reporting of limited damage to Iranian sites

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A satellite image shows an overview of Fordow underground complex after the US struck the underground nuclear facility, near Qom, Iran, on Sunday. Image: Maxar Technologies via Reuters
Reuters

A preliminary US intelligence assessment has determined that US strikes over the weekend on Iranian nuclear facilities have set back Tehran’s programme by only a matter of months, three sources with knowledge of the matter told Reuters.

The initial report was prepared by the Defence Intelligence Agency, the Pentagon’s main intelligence arm and one of 18 US intelligence agencies, said two of the sources, who requested anonymity to discuss classified matters.

The assessment found that Iran could restart its nuclear programme in a matter of months, according to the three sources, one of whom said it estimated the earliest restart could be in one to two months.

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The classified assessment is at odds with the statements of US President Donald Trump and high-ranking US officials – including Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth. They have said the weekend strikes, which used a combination of bunker-busting bombs and more conventional weapons, essentially eliminated Iran’s nuclear programme.

A US Air Force B-2 Spirit stealth bomber before operation Midnight Hammer. Photo: US Air Force via Reuters
A US Air Force B-2 Spirit stealth bomber before operation Midnight Hammer. Photo: US Air Force via Reuters

US media coverage of the DIA assessment appeared to anger Trump, who insisted news outlets like CNN and The New York Times were out to “demean” the military strike.

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“THE NUCLEAR SITES IN IRAN ARE COMPLETELY DESTROYED!” Trump posted in all caps on his Truth Social platform on Tuesday.

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