Ukraine war: Russia faces revolution and collapse within 10 years, experts say
- Nearly half of respondents to a think tank’s poll expect the country to break up by 2033, and over a fifth think it is likely to become a failed state
- Russia’s economy has been crumbling in the face of Western sanctions imposed on the country following its invasion of Ukraine
Russia is at risk of becoming a failed state or even breaking up by 2033 as the economy flounders due to the long-term impact of Western sanctions, according to a new survey conducted by the Atlantic Council.
The poll garnered the views of 167 experts on what they think the world will look like in 10 years. While 46 per cent of respondents expect Russia to splinter by 2033, 21 per cent see it as the most likely country to become a doomed state.
“One of the most surprising takeaways was how many respondents pointed to a potential Russian collapse over the next decade – suggesting that the Kremlin’s war against Ukraine could precipitate hugely consequential upheaval in a great power with the largest nuclear-weapons arsenal on the planet,” the think tank said.
Moreover, 40 per cent of respondents expect Russia to break up internally by 2033 because of “revolution, civil war, political disintegration”.
Russia’s economy has been crumbling in the face of Western sanctions imposed on the country following its invasion of Ukraine. In November, it slipped into recession eight months after Moscow launched its attack.