PoliticoUS election 2020: what the final polls say about the Trump-Biden race

Name: The US Electoral College: how does it work and why does it exist?
Uploaded: 2020-11-03T03:46:31.000Z
Duration: 4 min 54 s
Description: The US Electoral College: how does it work and why does it exist?

Joe Biden enters Election Day with a more comfortable lead than Hillary Clinton had four years ago

US President Donald Trump is in a deeper hole heading into Election Day than he was four years ago

4-MIN READ4-MIN

04:54

The US Electoral College: how does it work and why does it exist?

POLITICO

Published: 11:46am, 3 Nov 2020Updated: 5:54pm, 3 Nov 2020

This story is published in a content partnership with POLITICO. It was originally reported by Steven Shepard on politico.com on November 2, 2020.

US President Donald Trump is in a deeper hole heading into Election Day than he was four years ago, when he stunned Hillary Clinton and most of America.

The final polls before the election, released on Monday, continued to show Joe Biden ahead in enough swing states to win. Some of the states are close, but the polls would have to be significantly more inaccurate than they were in 2016 for Trump to prevail.

Here is a state-by-state guide to the latest polls at the end of the election in 13 of the 14 states rated either as “Toss Ups”, “Lean Republican” or “Lean Democratic” in POLITICO's Election Forecast (minus Alaska, where there is little public polling):

04:06

US presidential elections 2020: Trump, Biden campaigns make one last push for votes

Arizona (11 electoral votes)

FiveThirtyEight average as of Monday evening: Biden +2.6

FiveThirtyEight final 2016 “polls-only” forecast: Trump +2.4

2016 result: Trump +3.5

Befitting its toss-up status, the final live-interview poll in Arizona, an NBC News/Marist poll released on Monday, showed a tied race in Arizona, 48 per cent to 48 per cent.

Biden does lead in the polling average, however, as other late surveys have given him the edge, including a 6-point lead in a New York Times/Siena College poll out on Sunday.