Joe Biden in Canada to discuss Ukraine, China, climate change and trade with Justin Trudeau
- National security and air defences are a priority, with a recent Chinese spy balloon over North America putting urgency on Canada’s plans to update its radar systems
- Canada and the US see the partnership as crucial in supporting Ukraine against Russia’s invasion, reducing their dependence on Chinese goods
Two important areas of agreement appear in hand: Canada will escalate its timeline for military upgrades to the North American Aerospace Defence Command and the two nations will reach an agreement on migration, a senior Canadian official said.
National security and air defences are a priority, with a recent Chinese spy balloon floating over North America putting new-found urgency on Canada’s plans to update its radar systems and recent purchase of F-35 jets. Canada has agreed to an accelerated timeline for spending billions more on military upgrades for NORAD, which monitors the skies above the continent, according to the official.
A quirk in a 2002 agreement between the US and Canada says people seeking asylum must apply in the first country they arrive in. Migrants who go to an official crossing are returned to the US and told to apply there. But those who arrive in Canada at a location other than a port of entry are allowed to stay and request protection, as has been happening on Roxham Road between Champlain, New York and Quebec.
More than 39,000 claims were filed in 2022 by people who were intercepted by Canadian police, the vast majority of them in Quebec and at Roxham Road.
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“This visit is about taking stock of what we’ve done, where we are and what we need to prioritise for the future,” said John Kirby, a spokesman for the White House National Security Council. “We’re going to talk about our two democracies stepping up to meet the challenges of our time.”
There will still be an emphasis on trade, yet Canada and the US see the partnership as crucial in supporting Ukraine against Russia’s invasion, reducing their dependence on Chinese goods and shifting toward cleaner energy sources amid the planetary damage caused by burning fossil fuels.
“The United States is coming with big strategic issues on their mind,” said Vincent Rigby, a former national security adviser to Trudeau. “It’s a world where they’re looking to allies to help.”
The ties between the two countries are without parallel. Trade between the US and Canada totalled an estimated record of US$950 billion (C$1.3 trillion) in 2022. Each day, about 400,000 people cross the world’s longest international border, and about 800,000 Canadian citizens live in the United States. There is close cooperation on defence, border security and law enforcement, and a vast overlap in culture, traditions and pastimes.
Biden will address Parliament and Trudeau will host him for a state dinner on Friday evening. It is Biden’s first visit to Canada since he became president, but Trudeau also hosted Biden at a state dinner when he was vice-president in December 2016 just before Donald Trump took office.
Senior Canadian government officials said this week in a call with reporters that Trudeau will ask for more inclusions in the Inflation Reduction Act and said meeting face to face with the US president about bilateral issues is critical for Canada.
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Biden has used his foreign trips to reestablish the US as a global leader that is willing to listen to and work together with its partners, even as his administration has embraced an industrial strategy that is about reviving US manufacturing and the middle class.
The trip comes after the president’s visit last month to the Ukrainian capital of Kyiv and Poland and as the 2024 US election is heating up with the expectation that Biden will formally announce his plans to seek re-election.
One Canadian official noted that former US President Barack Obama did not stay overnight when he visited and Canada’s government is pleased that Biden will. Trump never visited Canada for bilateral meetings, his only appearance being a G-7 summit after which he and White House aides assailed Trudeau as a “weak” and dishonest back-stabber. Trump threatened to scrap the North American Free Trade Agreement before eventually renegotiating it.
The British, Australians and Japanese are all investing more in defence given the threats posed by Beijing and Moscow, and the US expects its northern neighbour to do its part. Canada has long faced calls to increase its defence spending to 2 per cent of its gross domestic product, the agreed-upon target by Nato members.
Ottawa spends about 1.2 per cent now. Canada announced in January it will purchase 88 F-35 fighter jets but at the time of the announcement said the first four do not arrive for another three years. The US is also pushing Canada to lead an international force in Haiti but Canada’s top military official has suggested he does not have the capacity.