Why Kamala Harris will win, according to historian who predicted 9 US elections since 1984
American historian Allan Lichtman’s 2024 prediction is based on what he calls the ‘13 keys’ method
Forget the polls, ditch the data and stop sending journalists to swing-state diners to interview undecided voters: historian Allan Lichtman already knows who is going to win the US presidential election.
“Harris will win,” Lichtman confidently announced to Agence France-Presse.
He was speaking at his home in the leafy Washington suburb of Bethesda shortly after unveiling his much-discussed, once-every-four-years White House prediction, based on what he calls the “13 keys” method.
It can be easy to dismiss Lichtman’s signature methodology as just another gimmick in the endless, drawn-out “horse race” style coverage of US elections – where journalists, pollsters and pundits are constantly trying to see who is up and who is down.
But the American University history professor has answers for his critics – and a track record that’s hard to beat, having correctly called all but one election since 1984.