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Asean
OpinionAsia Opinion
Alex Lo

My Take | Myanmar’s neighbours sit on the sidelines as it slides into chaos

  • As the poorest member of Asean grapples with a 50% poverty rate, helping a regional nation in trouble is not foreign interference

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A soldier walks past smoke following an airstrike by the Myanmar Junta force on the highway near the country’s Dawei city on March 29, 2024. Photo: Khu Sam
Myanmar sticks out like a sore thumb among Asean member states for being the most unstable and least prosperous among them. Before, it had much to do with ethnic conflicts that resembled a civil war. Now, though, not only has the fighting on several fronts intensified, but also its economy is collapsing and half of its population are living in poverty. The situation has turned from bad to dire since the military coup against an elected government in 2021, according to the latest report by the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP).

Asean’s singular failure or refusal to get involved over many years has been a huge black mark on its record, and the bloc is consistently being pointed to by critics as being no more than a talking shop. The principle of non-interference does not mean good neighbours can’t work together to help another neighbour in trouble. And Myanmar is in a lot of trouble. According to the UNDP:

• Poverty headcount as a percentage of the population has doubled from 24.8 per cent in 2017 to 49.7 per cent in 2023. An additional 25 per cent are hanging by a thread.

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• Only the top 20 per cent of the population reported a higher income per capita. But this income remains well below what would be required for a middle-class standard of living. Essentially, the middle class has disappeared in the country.

• Half of all households lack a secondary income source. Women-headed households are 1.2 times more likely to live in poverty compared to households headed by men.

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• Foreign direct investment (FDI) dropped below US$2 billion in 2021, compared to US$5 billion-plus in 2017. Despite a slight recovery in 2022-23, average annual FDI remains significantly lower than in previous years.

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