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US-China relations
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As I see it
Alex Lo

Beijing had already won before the Trump-Xi summit even started

There’s a lesson for the US president in Napoleon’s invasion of Russia in the early 19th century

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US President Donald Trump (bottom right) shakes hands with Chinese President Xi Jinping upon arriving at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on May 14. Photo: Reuters
Alex Lo has been an SCMP columnist since 2012, covering major issues affecting Hong Kong and the rest of China.

Fans of Leo Tolstoy’s War and Peace all have their own reasons for loving the epic novel. Some read it as a story of personal growth, reflected in Prince Andrei’s spiritual quest. Others favour its portrayal of the Russian aristocracy in the early 19th century.

As for myself, the novel punctured the myth of the military genius – not just Napoleon’s. The book’s final section on Tolstoy’s philosophy of history presented the most significant challenge to G.W.F. Hegel – specifically regarding French emperor Napoleon Bonaparte as weltgeist (world-soul) on horseback – and Clausewitz, who proposed Napoleonic warfare could be generalised as universal military principles

“Who defeated Napoleon during his Russian campaign?” a professor once asked our class when I was in college. It was a trick question to check who had read their assignments. Unlike dictator of Nazi Germany Adolf Hitler in the next century, Napoleon didn’t lose; he actually won most of the major battles in Russia, much like the Americans did in Vietnam, Afghanistan and Iraq. But it was also a very deep question, the answer to which gets to the heart of the novel – and Mother Russia herself.

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One answer was Russia’s General Kutuzov. Technically, he lost the crucial Battle of Borodino, which, however, sealed the fate of the Grande Armée. Overextended and without looted provisions from a burned down Moscow, Napoleon’s army that was once the terror of Europe retreated and disintegrated.

Jean-Baptiste Mauzaisse’s painting of Napoleon crossing the Alps is on display at an exhibition by Sotheby’s in Central, Hong Kong, in May 2025. Photo: Jelly Tse
Jean-Baptiste Mauzaisse’s painting of Napoleon crossing the Alps is on display at an exhibition by Sotheby’s in Central, Hong Kong, in May 2025. Photo: Jelly Tse
What has all that to do with the China-US rivalry, or more specifically, the summit between President Xi Jinping and his US counterpart Donald Trump? Well, a little. Actually, I have been rereading the novel this week and just felt the need to talk about it with someone, even if it was just my computer screen.
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