Asia Pacific investors signal renewed confidence in commercial real estate in 2025
Buying intentions improve as investor interest expands beyond industrial & logistics into offices, retail, hospitality and alternative assets; Tokyo, Sydney and Singapore top Asia Pacific destinations for cross-border investment, with Mumbai and New Delhi on the rise
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Heading into 2025, investor confidence in Asia Pacific commercial real estate has improved noticeably, but optimism remains tempered by global economic uncertainties and the US Federal Reserve’s more cautious stance on interest rate cuts.
Greg Hyland, Head of Capital Markets, Asia Pacific at CBRE, attributes the shift in sentiment to stabilising financial conditions.
“We are seeing the capping of interest rates in a lot of Asia Pacific markets that we operate in. In some markets, rates have started to decrease, so I think that has given investors a degree of confidence that we are at the top of the rate cycle,” he said.
Ada Choi, Head of Research, Asia Pacific at CBRE, echoed this sentiment, emphasising that investors are displaying stronger buying intentions this year.
“Overall, investors have a stronger buying intention this year. What we are seeing is a combination of confidence returning to the market and investors catching up on allocations that had slowed over the past 12 to 18 months,” she said.
Figure 1: Purchasing and Selling Intentions
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REITs and institutional investors poised for increased activity
Among investor categories, real estate investment trusts (REITs) and institutional investors are set to be the most active buyers in 2025.
REITs, which had been net sellers in recent years, indicated a net buying intention of 22%, a stark reversal from -13% a year earlier. Institutional investors, including sovereign wealth funds and pension funds, are also expected to increase allocations.
Private equity funds, real estate funds and high-net-worth investors are expected to remain active but at a slower pace, with a focus on value-add and opportunistic strategies. Meanwhile, property developers are likely to remain net neutral, given rising construction costs and lingering financing challenges.
Figure 2: Net Buying Intentions by Investor Type
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For the sixth consecutive year, Tokyo retained its position as the most preferred market in Asia Pacific for cross-border real estate investment. Osaka also attracted strong interest, buoyed by low-cost debt and stable income streams.
However, the Bank of Japan’s recent policy shift towards monetary tightening could introduce new dynamics in the coming months.
“Tokyo and the bigger cities have been very attractive destinations for investors for a long period of time,” Hyland said. “The underlying fundamentals of the market have been relatively robust, underpinned by very low or negative real interest rates, and loose monetary policy. The Bank of Japan is starting to unwind those policies, so it will be interesting to see how that impacts the Japan market going forward.”
Figure 3: Top Cities for Cross-border Investment and Preferred Strategy
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Meanwhile, India and Vietnam witnessed notable growth, with two cities from each country breaking into the top 10 investment destinations.
“India seems to have taken over that mantle of the high-growth markets,” said Hyland. “We see it from our clients – they’re really shifting their focus and want to allocate more money to the Indian markets.”
Choi further noted the increasing investor appetite in these new markets. “We have seen Mumbai and New Delhi make the top ten for the first time, which speaks volumes about how investors are identifying India as a high-growth destination. Similarly, Vietnamese cities continue to gain attention as investment hubs.”
Investor interest shifts beyond industrial and logistics to diverse sectors
Industrial and logistics assets remain the most sought-after asset class, particularly among core investors, although CBRE’s survey suggests that interest is increasingly broadly across other sectors.
“Industrial & Logistics is still the most favoured sector in Asia Pacific,” said Hyland. “However, interest levels have started to drop off as many investors have been quite aggressive in acquiring logistics properties over the last four or five years, and we have started to see some of the rent growth that has been explosive in several markets trend back to normal.”
Figure 4: Investors’ Preferred Sector for Investment (% of respondents)
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In the data centre space, the growth has been significant, note both Choi and Hyland. “The amount of capital that is being driven by digitisation and AI is enormous, so we are starting to see the early innings of what we think is a multi-year trend for allocation of capital into data centres,” said Hyland.
The living sector also remains popular, with build-to-rent and build-to-sell opportunities attracting strong interest. However, a lack of investable assets outside of Japan, Australia, and mainland China has led to interest for the asset class stabilising after strong growth in demand over the past few years.
Signs of recovery as interest rates stabilise
“This year’s survey indicates investors’ growing willingness to allocate capital across diverse asset classes and new markets. While industrial remains dominant, investor interest is expanding, particularly in emerging asset classes and locations,” said Choi. “2025 is shaping up to be a year of recalibrated strategies and renewed investment activity across the region’s commercial real estate landscape.”