Dwindling reserves highlight need for real reforms

Ultimately capital controls to stem the outflow will not work unless fundamental issues are addressed

China’s foreign exchange reserves have fallen below US$3 trillion for the first time in six years. Photo: AP

China’s foreign exchange reserves have fallen below US$3 trillion for the first time in six years. This is a psychological barrier. The breaching of it on its own is not rational grounds for concern. The remaining reserves amount to US$2.9982 trillion. The description of this sumDwindling reserves highlight need for real reforms by the State Administration of Foreign Exchange as “adequate” is an understatement. But the psychology will weigh with party leaders and economic advisers ahead of the 19th, five-yearly National People’s Congress later in the year at which future leadership succession will be decided.

A bigger than expected if slowing decline of reserves in January reflected continued capital outflow despite the imposition of strict controls late last year. We trust the authorities will resist the temptation to resort to short-term fixes. Ultimately capital controls will not work unless fundamental issues are addressed.

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