Source:
https://scmp.com/comment/insight-opinion/article/2112003/15-perspectives-north-korea-nuclear-crisis
Opinion/ Comment

15 perspectives on the North Korea nuclear crisis

North Korea carried out its sixth nuclear test in early September, prompting outrage from across the globe and the United Nations to pass its strongest sanctions yet against the hermit state.

We take a look at some perspectives on the issue.

1. The cold, calculated logic behind North Korea’s missile tests

North Korean leader Kim Jong-un provides field guidance to Farm No 1116 under KPA Unit 810, in this photo released by North Korea's Korean Central News Agency in Pyongyang on in September 2016. Photo: KCNA via Reuters
North Korean leader Kim Jong-un provides field guidance to Farm No 1116 under KPA Unit 810, in this photo released by North Korea's Korean Central News Agency in Pyongyang on in September 2016. Photo: KCNA via Reuters

2. Is the international community ready if North Korea’s nuclear ambitions bring about environmental disaster?

Michael McGrady says the potential for serious release of radioactive materials at North Korea’s nuclear testing site is clear. Less clear is how the international community could, or should, react.

The more presidents Xi Jinping and Donald Trump publicly restate their positions in terms of the endgame over North Korea, the more difficult it becomes to do otherwise. Photo: Reuters/AFP
The more presidents Xi Jinping and Donald Trump publicly restate their positions in terms of the endgame over North Korea, the more difficult it becomes to do otherwise. Photo: Reuters/AFP

3. How Sino-US mistrust is keeping the Korean peninsula safe from war

The predictable call-and-response routine between Beijing and Washington after each new provocation from Pyongyang may seem repetitive, Robert Delaney says, but the restating of positions is keeping military conflict at bay.

US President Donald Trump gestures as he and Chinese President Xi Jinping meet in Palm Beach. The world’s two biggest nations continue to fail to agree on the best action to rein in North Korea’s provocative missile tests. Photo: AP
US President Donald Trump gestures as he and Chinese President Xi Jinping meet in Palm Beach. The world’s two biggest nations continue to fail to agree on the best action to rein in North Korea’s provocative missile tests. Photo: AP

4. Just like his grandfather, Kim Jong-un exploits mistrust between US and China

More than 60 years since the Korean war made enemies of the two countries, Pyongyang continues to dictate the course of the world’s most important bilateral relationship, writes Cary Huang.

A map of the peninsula Imjingak Pavilion in Paju, near the border with North Korea. Photo: AP
A map of the peninsula Imjingak Pavilion in Paju, near the border with North Korea. Photo: AP

5. Asia could find itself locked in a new cold war if the North Korean nuclear crisis escalates

US President Donald Trump talks to the media on the South Lawn of the White House on September 6. Trump’s emphasis on “America First” has heightened discussions about the decline of the unipolar US-led order. Photo: EPA-EFE
US President Donald Trump talks to the media on the South Lawn of the White House on September 6. Trump’s emphasis on “America First” has heightened discussions about the decline of the unipolar US-led order. Photo: EPA-EFE

6. The great unravelling of a US-led global order

Andrew Sheng says the chaos of North Korea’s nuclear proliferation and climate-related disasters, plus the rise of China, India and non-state actors, all stem from the decline of a unipolar world, with an uncertain set of solutions.

North Korean soldiers salute at Munsu Hill in Pyongyang to mark the 69th anniversary of the country's founding. Photo: Kyodo News via AP
North Korean soldiers salute at Munsu Hill in Pyongyang to mark the 69th anniversary of the country's founding. Photo: Kyodo News via AP

7. North Korea’s nuclear and missile tests defy the US, the cold war’s end, and simple solutions

US Ambassador to the UN Nikki Haley speaks to UN Chinese Ambassador Liu Jieyi before a Security Council meeting on the situation in North Korea, at the UN headquarters in New York on September 4. Photo: EPA-EFE
US Ambassador to the UN Nikki Haley speaks to UN Chinese Ambassador Liu Jieyi before a Security Council meeting on the situation in North Korea, at the UN headquarters in New York on September 4. Photo: EPA-EFE

8. How Chinese diplomacy can shape US policy on North Korea

North Korean leader Kim Jong-un. Photo: Reuters
North Korean leader Kim Jong-un. Photo: Reuters

9. What would China do if North Korea and the United States go to war?

Singapore’s ambassador at large Bilahari Kausikan gives his views on the North Korean nuclear crisis, the rise of China and the potential for conflict between Beijing and New Delhi.

North Korean leader Kim Jong-un visits a Korean People’s Army unit in an undisclosed location in North Korea. Photo: Balkis Press/Abaca Press/TNS
North Korean leader Kim Jong-un visits a Korean People’s Army unit in an undisclosed location in North Korea. Photo: Balkis Press/Abaca Press/TNS

10. How the US can get Chinese and Russian support for regime change in North Korea

Richard Alan Nelson says the US should offer a ‘grand bargain’ to Beijing and Moscow: if they could help to remove the Kim regime and work towards Korean reunification, America would withdraw its military troops from the Korean peninsula.

President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un feature in a news programme being telecast at the Seoul Train Station on August 10. The North Korean octopus does not speak to the West in any intelligible language, and is still threatening. Photo: AP
President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un feature in a news programme being telecast at the Seoul Train Station on August 10. The North Korean octopus does not speak to the West in any intelligible language, and is still threatening. Photo: AP

11. What do North Korea and an octopus have in common? More than you might think

Tom Plate says the highly intelligent but often misunderstood cephalopod may offer a clue to understanding North Korea, given the parallels in a defence system that include dramatic expulsions and ostentatious threat displays.

Japan’s Izumo helicopter carrier. Photo: AFP
Japan’s Izumo helicopter carrier. Photo: AFP

12. Japanese pacifism: an early casualty of a nuclear North Korea?

Japan’s ‘self-defence’ force is among the world’s most powerful militaries but it is hamstrung by a constitution that questions its existence, writes Gavin Blair. A North Korean missile passing overhead may help clarify matters...

Pyongyang celebrates the hydrogen bomb test. Photo: AFP
Pyongyang celebrates the hydrogen bomb test. Photo: AFP

13. The world’s dilemma: Why North Korea will become a nuclear power despite pressure

Military strikes, sanctions, talks – all these options are destined to fail, says Wang Xiangwei. And with Pyongyang’s ally Beijing backed into a corner, just one outcome appears likely: the worst-case scenario.

Kim’s nuclear test has pushed China and the US a step closer towards cooperation. Illustration: Craig Stephens
Kim’s nuclear test has pushed China and the US a step closer towards cooperation. Illustration: Craig Stephens

14. Why North Korea’s nuclear test may not be all bad

Deng Yuwen says the recent test, a slap in the face for both China and the US, could have a sobering effect on the two powers, sharpening the choices before them and strengthening their resolve to cooperate for a solution – by military means if necessary.

A North Korean missile. Photo: AP
A North Korean missile. Photo: AP

15. North Korea nuclear crisis: time to panic yet?