Oscars 2020: Sam Mendes’ 1917 leads Academy Awards charge, but will there be any surprises? Acting Oscars look sewn up already
- War epic 1917 is tipped to win big at the Oscars, and Joaquin Phoenix and Renee Zellweger are seen as favourites for best actor and best actress
- This year’s nominations have been criticised for a lack of diversity, with Cynthia Erivo the only non-white acting nominee
Hollywood’s award season reaches its extravagant finale at the Oscars tomorrow in the United States, with war epic 1917 tipped to dispatch a brigade of winners to the stage at the movie industry’s biggest night.
A-listers and upstart documentary filmmakers will brush shoulders on the red carpet at Los Angeles’ Dolby Theatre as months of campaigning for 24 gold statuettes boil down to a single night.
Sam Mendes’ 1917 launched a late assault on this year’s Academy Awards – it was first shown to voters barely two months ago – but experts predict it could outflank all rivals.
The first world war odyssey about two soldiers crossing no-man’s-land – filmed to appear like one continuous shot – has conquered nearly all in its path in the award shows building up to the big day.
It is the favourite for multiple Oscars, from best director to cinematography, and the front-runner for best picture, the night’s top prize.
“It falls into traditional Hollywood – it’s what the Oscars like,” Variety awards editor Tim Gray says. “It’s big, it’s epic, but it’s hardly a formula film. It really is a knockout … it’s just filmmaking at its best.”
The unique ballot system for best picture – which involves voters ranking films – makes it somewhat tough to predict, and could create an opening for an unlikely candidate.
Despite the best efforts of star filmmakers Martin Scorsese (The Irishman) and Quentin Tarantino ( Once Upon a Time … in Hollywood ), Mendes’ main rival appears to be Bong Joon-ho.
The charismatic South Korean director has become Hollywood’s darling in recent weeks, drawing unrivalled crowds at campaign events for his black comedy Parasite .
The film about a poor family infiltrating a wealthy household looks to be a shoo-in for best international feature – but also could triumph in some of the top categories.
The Oscars in the acting categories – usually a subject of agonising deliberation for industry pundits – appear settled, with the same four stars sweeping up rave reviews and awards all season.
Joaquin Phoenix and Renee Zellweger are believed to be far ahead of the competition for best actor and best actress.
Phoenix underwent a striking transformation to portray the title comic book supervillain in Joker – as did Zellweger to play legendary Hollywood diva Judy Garland in Judy .
Tinseltown favourites Brad Pitt and Laura Dern have their fingertips on the supporting acting prizes, for their work as a laid-back stuntman (Once Upon a Time … in Hollywood) and a cutthroat divorce lawyer (Marriage Story).
“I see no scenario where any one of them loses,” Deadline awards columnist Pete Hammond says.
“People will say ‘there’s always an Oscars surprise’ … but I think those four are going to win it,” Gray agrees.
More fiercely contested will be the awards for best screenplay, editing and visual effects, with movies from Nazi satire Jojo Rabbit to period drama Little Women and even superhero epic Avengers: Endgame all in the mix.
The ceremony will go on without a host for a second consecutive time, after last year’s batch of bright guest presenters caused a trend-bucking uplift in TV ratings.
This year’s presenter line-up is equally star-studded: Tom Hanks, Jane Fonda and Diane Keaton will appear alongside previous winners Brie Larson, Olivia Colman and Rami Malek.
Elton John, tipped to win the best original song Oscar for (I’m Gonna) Love Me Again from Rocketman , will perform, as will big Grammys winner and upcoming James Bond songstress Billie Eilish.
In a possible tip to the ongoing controversy over the lack of female nominees, Irish maestro Eimear Noone will become the first woman to conduct a segment of music during an Oscars telecast.
Still, diversity among guest hosts and performers is unlikely to assuage anger over this year’s nominations.
Cynthia Erivo was the only non-white acting nominee, for anti-slavery biopic Harriet, and no women made the best director list.
“I wouldn’t call it #OscarsSoWhite but I’d say it’s #OscarsAsUsual,” says Hammond.
“A British picture comes in at the end and wins a traditional kind of win, four white actors again … It looks like the Oscars could have been 30 years ago.”