US Senator Mitt Romney speaks to the media in Washington in May. Photo: AFP
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https://scmp.com/news/world/united-states-canada/article/3033950/donald-trump-says-it-foregone-conclusion-he-will-be United States & Canada
Donald Trump says it is a foregone conclusion he will be impeached over Ukraine scandal
- US president urges fellow Republicans to defend him and fight impeachment inquiry
- Two White House officials decline to give depositions to investigators
US President Donald Trump speaks during a Cabinet meeting at the White House on Monday. Photo: AFP
US President Donald Trump said on Monday it is a foregone conclusion that the Democratic-led House of Representatives will vote to impeach him over his request that Ukraine investigate a political rival as he exhorted his fellow Republicans to rally to his defence.
Trump made his comments at the beginning of a Cabinet meeting at the White House as Democrats sought to build public support for their fast-moving impeachment inquiry even as the administration pressed its efforts to stonewall the probe.
Approval of articles of impeachment in the House would prompt a Senate trial on whether to remove Trump from office. The Senate is led by Republicans, who have shown little inclination toward removing Trump though he has come under sharp criticism from Republican Senator Mitt Romney.
Asked if it was a foregone conclusion that House Democrats will vote to impeach him, Trump said yes, otherwise he would win re-election next year. Trump said Republicans need to get tougher and fight the impeachment inquiry, saying Democrats were sticking together.
“They don’t have Mitt Romney,” Trump told reporters.
Acting White House budget director Russell Vought said both he and Michael Duffey, associate director for national security programmes at the Office of Management and Budget, would not provide depositions to the committees leading the inquiry in the Democratic-led House of Representatives.
Duffey had been expected to testify behind closed doors on Wednesday as Democrats scrutinise Trump’s decision to withhold US$391 million in security aid to Ukraine before he asked its president to investigate former vice-president Joe Biden.
Other current and former administration officials have defied White House demands that they not cooperate with the inquiry, which threatens Republican Trump’s presidency. Another round of crucial testimony is set for this week, including by Bill Taylor, the top US diplomat in Ukraine, on Tuesday.
House Democrats released a fact sheet and video to try to make their case for impeachment, drawing on information already made public about the Ukraine scandal.
If the House votes to impeach Trump, but the Senate fails to achieve the two-thirds majority necessary to remove him from office, US voters would confront an unusual political situation in 2020.
None of the previous three presidents who faced a serious impeachment threat appeared on the next general election ballot.
But it remains to be seen how impeachment would affect Trump’s re-election chances. On top of his base of supporters generally approving his unconventional actions in the White House, some analysts say he remains a strong favourite to win a second term based on economic trends in crucial swing states.
According to a model maintained by research firm Moody’s Analytics – which was perfect from 1980 until narrowly missing the 2016 outcome – Trump would win fairly solidly in 2020 based on three different sets of state-level economic and political data, POLITICO reported last week.
One data set that focuses on pocketbook issues such as gas prices, home prices and personal income finds that, as of now, Trump would romp to a second term with 351 electoral votes.
At issue in the impeachment inquiry is a June phone call in which Donald Trump asked Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky (shown) to investigate Trump’s political rival Joe Biden and Biden’s son Hunter, who had been a director of a Ukrainian energy company. Photo: AFP
The impeachment inquiry focuses on Trump pressuring a vulnerable foreign ally to interfere to his benefit in the 2020 US presidential election by providing political dirt on Biden, a leading contender for the Democratic nomination to face Trump.
At issue is a June phone call in which Trump asked Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to investigate Biden and his son Hunter Biden, who had been a director of a Ukrainian energy company, as well as a discredited theory that Ukraine, and not Russia, interfered in the 2016 US election.
US intelligence agencies and a special counsel have concluded that Russia used a campaign of hacking and propaganda to boost Trump’s candidacy.
The fact sheet and video “encapsulate all the evidence uncovered to date about the president’s months-long pressure campaign to undermine the 2020 election and the extent to which he abused his power by using the levers of government to advance the scheme”, according to House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s office.
US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and her fellow Democrats have said the evidence shows that Trump “believes he is above the law”. Photo: Bloomberg
Democrats said their fact sheet and video showed that Trump “believes he is above the law” and that “House Republicans’ complicity and silence only serves to keep him there.”
The White House declined to comment.
Trump has lashed out at House Democrats, saying he did nothing wrong and that the Zelensky call was “perfect”.
Diplomat Taylor could be one of the most important witnesses yet. Taylor’s text messages with US Ambassador to the European Union Gordon Sondland have surfaced as a central thread in the probe.
Before making his requests to Zelensky, Trump had withheld the congressionally approved US security aid to Ukraine to help Kiev deal with Russia-backed separatists in the eastern part of the country. Zelensky agreed to Trump’s requests. Trump later provided the aid.
US President Donald Trump (centre) speaks during a Cabinet meeting at the White House on Monday. Photo: Bloomberg
“I think it’s crazy to withhold security assistance for help with a political campaign,” Taylor, the US charge d’affaires in Ukraine, said in a text to Sondland.
“The president has been crystal clear no quid pro quo’s of any kind,” Sondland responded by text after speaking to Trump. Quid pro quo is a Latin phrase meaning a favour for a favour.
Sondland said in written testimony last week that Trump in May told senior US officials to deal directly with his personal lawyer, Rudy Giuliani, about US policy on Ukraine, raising concern that American foreign policy was being outsourced to a private citizen and conducted for the president’s personal political benefit.
Also expected to testify in a closed session on Wednesday is Philip Reeker, the acting assistant secretary of state for Europe.
Laura Cooper, the deputy assistant secretary of defence for Russia, Ukraine, Eurasia, and Alexander Vindman, a Europe adviser on the National Security Council, are expected to testify on Thursday, an official involved in the inquiry said.