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Hong Kong
Property

Hong Kong home prices rise for sixth consecutive month, setting stage for 2026 rebound

December gains seen easing after deadly fire dampens sentiment, but a more sustained rebound is forecast from mid-2026 on easing rates

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Home prices extend a recovery that began in the second quarter. Photo: Sam Tsang
Peggy Ye
Hong Kong’s lived-in home prices rose for a sixth consecutive month in November, extending a recovery that began in the second quarter and pointing to a potentially more sustained rebound from mid-2026 as policy support and easing rates lift market confidence.

The official home price index climbed to 297.3 in November, the highest level in 16 months and just shy of the 297.6 recorded in July last year, according to the Rating and Valuation Department.

Prices have gained 3.52 per cent so far this year, marking a clear improvement from 2024, when values continued to slide amid weak demand and tight financing conditions.

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Prices rose 0.9 per cent month on month in November, supported by expectations of further interest-rate cuts, easing US-China trade tensions, a rebound in the stock market and strong new-home sales, analysts said.
Looking ahead, price growth was expected to moderate in December after a strong run earlier in the quarter, as market sentiment was shaken late in November by a deadly fire at Tai Po’s Wang Fuk Estate, which claimed at least 161 lives and weighed heavily on public mood. Attention also shifted towards the Legislative Council election, contributing to a temporary pause in transactions.

“As a result, December’s price increase is likely to narrow to around 0.5 per cent,” said Derek Chan, head of research at Ricacorp Properties. Chan said home prices were still on track to rise about 3.3 per cent for the full year, wiping out the downtrend of the previous three years.

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