https://www.scmp.com/rss/322751/feed Bonnie S. Glaser is a senior adviser for Asia and director of the China Power Project at the Centre for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). en https://assets.i-scmp.com/static/img/icons/scmp-meta-1200x630.png https://www.scmp.com Beginning last summer and picking up intensity in the weeks leading up to the US presidential election, warnings emerged in newspaper articles, analytical pieces and in private discussions that the United States and China are on the brink of open military confrontation. Two scenarios in particular are being put forward. One holds that Chinese leader Xi Jinping, feeling empowered domestically after Beijing’s relative containment of Covid-19, will seek to exploit US election distraction to achieve... https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3110204/neither-china-nor-us-wants-hot-war-biden-must-tread-carefully?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3110204/neither-china-nor-us-wants-hot-war-biden-must-tread-carefully?utm_source=rss_feed Wed, 18 Nov 2020 17:00:18 +0000 If China truly wants to coexist and compete peacefully in the Indo-Pacific, it must comply with international treaties and agreements. This includes international accords that apply to the disputed waters of the South China Sea, where the risk of an incident is growing, not only between the US and China, but also between China and its neighbours. China’s flouting of international rules in the South China Sea may spark a future maritime incident. Some Chinese charge that the United States is... https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3052429/conflict-prevention-south-china-sea-depends-china-abiding-existing?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3052429/conflict-prevention-south-china-sea-depends-china-abiding-existing?utm_source=rss_feed Wed, 26 Feb 2020 18:00:15 +0000 In what was perhaps the only extemporaneous remark made by China’s PLA representative at the Shangri-La Dialogue this past weekend, Admiral Sun Jianguo (孫建國) said that his bilateral meetings with foreign counterparts – 17 in all – were “warmer and friendlier” than those he held last year. Sun claimed to have received fewer questions during these meetings on the South China Sea. He insisted that trust had increased since the last dialogue. If Beijing really believes its behaviour over the past... https://www.scmp.com/comment/insight-opinion/article/1968227/chinas-strident-words-south-china-sea-sovereignty-are?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/comment/insight-opinion/article/1968227/chinas-strident-words-south-china-sea-sovereignty-are?utm_source=rss_feed Wed, 08 Jun 2016 05:32:32 +0000 Taiwan's presidential election is six months away, but it seems increasingly likely that Tsai Ing-wen of the Democratic Progressive Party will win. Among those watching the possible return of the DPP to power is the central government, which worries that, if elected, Tsai will deny that the two sides of the strait belong to one China and pursue de jure independence. This fear derives from Tsai's history as the creator of the "two states theory" in the Lee Teng-hui era as well as her... https://www.scmp.com/comment/insight-opinion/article/1842739/tsai-ing-wens-likely-victory-taiwan-means-cross-strait?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/comment/insight-opinion/article/1842739/tsai-ing-wens-likely-victory-taiwan-means-cross-strait?utm_source=rss_feed Wed, 22 Jul 2015 04:15:30 +0000 Developments in Taiwan are often unpredictable, and the past year has been no exception. Thus, a review of events on the island in 2006 may provide useful insights into the future course of cross-strait events. Taiwanese President Chen Shui-bian's popularity continued to wane, as numerous scandals were uncovered in the first family and the presidential office. Attacks escalated on Mr Chen from the opposition, and three recall votes were held in the legislature within six months. Support for... https://www.scmp.com/article/579264/where-now-cross-strait-relations?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/article/579264/where-now-cross-strait-relations?utm_source=rss_feed Mon, 22 Jan 2007 16:00:00 +0000 The presidents of China and the United States will hold a summit next week at an important juncture in Sino-US relations. Even as Washington and Beijing have improved co-operation on critical security issues such as the 'war on terror' and North Korea - and established new dialogue mechanisms to address the growing complexity of their relationship - strategic distrust has persisted and, in some ways, intensified. Beijing suspects that the United States will attempt to slow or block China's rise... https://www.scmp.com/article/514668/chance-ease-mutual-mistrust?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/article/514668/chance-ease-mutual-mistrust?utm_source=rss_feed Fri, 02 Sep 2005 16:00:00 +0000