https://www.scmp.com/rss/325161/feed Kevin Rudd, a former prime minister of Australia, is president of the Asia Society Policy Institute, New York. en https://assets.i-scmp.com/static/img/icons/scmp-meta-1200x630.png https://www.scmp.com As Xi Jinping emerges emboldened from China’s 20th party congress and prepares to possibly meet Joe Biden next month for the first time since he became US president, all eyes will focus on the two countries’ worsening geopolitical relationship over Taiwan. This will include whether they will now seek some sort of formula to stabilise (if not normalise) their relationship, or whether it will continue to spiral downwards in the absence of an effective diplomatic mechanism to manage the growing... https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3197008/why-china-must-stop-russia-using-nuclear-weapon-ukraine?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3197008/why-china-must-stop-russia-using-nuclear-weapon-ukraine?utm_source=rss_feed Mon, 24 Oct 2022 13:30:10 +0000 China’s recently reported tests of a nuclear-capable hypersonic missile in July and August, though officially denied, are threatening to undermine strategic nuclear stability. They have already added to escalating tensions between the United States and China. Throughout the summer, satellite images revealed that China was in the process of building as many as 300 new missile silos in its northern deserts. Some of these silos are likely to be used merely as empty decoys. But, if even half of them... https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3159963/how-keep-us-china-rivalry-starting-nuclear-arms-race?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3159963/how-keep-us-china-rivalry-starting-nuclear-arms-race?utm_source=rss_feed Sat, 18 Dec 2021 17:30:23 +0000 US-China relations might be at their lowest point in nearly 50 years, but the importance of US-China action on climate change is greater than ever. From this action, collaboration can blossom. When the two countries established diplomatic relations in 1979, the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere was around 336 parts per million – just shy of what scientists consider safe for human civilisation. Today, we are at 417 parts per million and this continues to rise. The United States... https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3132342/climate-change-ball-chinas-court-do-more-emissions-cuts?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3132342/climate-change-ball-chinas-court-do-more-emissions-cuts?utm_source=rss_feed Thu, 06 May 2021 19:30:16 +0000 Among the many challenges President Joe Biden will face as he enters office, three of his key goals will be bolstering America’s global economic and technological competitiveness, rebuilding American democracy to heal a divided land, and restoring American global leadership. Fortunately, one policy change can help quickly tackle all three at once: reversing the restrictions imposed by the Donald Trump administration on visas for international students looking to study in the United States. Trump... https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3119247/biden-should-prioritise-reversing-trumps-blanket-ban-chinese-and?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3119247/biden-should-prioritise-reversing-trumps-blanket-ban-chinese-and?utm_source=rss_feed Tue, 26 Jan 2021 22:45:17 +0000 As two of the region’s leaders around the G20 decision-making table during the height of the last global recession in 2008 and 2009, we understand the power of the institution in a crisis. But after four years of the not-so-subtle degradation of the multilateral order under US President Donald Trump, and especially given his proclivity to see G7 and G20 summits as photo shoots for an “America first” foreign policy in action, it is easy to understand why many are ready to give up on the... https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3110501/g20-overcome-covid-19s-global-health-and-economic-challenges-four?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3110501/g20-overcome-covid-19s-global-health-and-economic-challenges-four?utm_source=rss_feed Sat, 21 Nov 2020 00:45:08 +0000 In 2013, the Chinese government laid out a policy agenda that promised real reforms to an economy laden with debt and distorted by the influence of the country’s large state-owned enterprise sector. Instead of seeing that agenda through, it chose to dodge the risks entailed by marketisation and has since reverted to what it knows best – state control over the economy and the semblance of stability that comes with it. The China Dashboard, a joint project of the Asia Society Policy Institute and... https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3090046/can-we-believe-china-will-reform-its-economy-time-given-empty?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3090046/can-we-believe-china-will-reform-its-economy-time-given-empty?utm_source=rss_feed Mon, 22 Jun 2020 17:00:03 +0000 As one of the first countries to emerge from what may still just be the first wave of this coronavirus crisis, China also has an opportunity to lead the world in demonstrating what a green economic revival can look like. Already, China’s emissions – like those across the rest of the world – have dropped sharply as a result of this crisis. In the four weeks after Lunar New Year, it is estimated that domestic emissions dropped by as much as 25 per cent, equivalent to around 200 million tonnes of... https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3084603/china-can-show-world-what-green-economic-recovery-looks?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3084603/china-can-show-world-what-green-economic-recovery-looks?utm_source=rss_feed Mon, 18 May 2020 01:30:10 +0000 The cratering of global markets last week made it clear that what started as a global health crisis is rapidly becoming a global economic crisis, and possibly a financial crisis. For recovery to occur, the world needs coordinated action at all three levels. Now that the number of cases in China appears to have plateaued, how deep the economic crash will be and how long the crawl to recovery depends on two critical factors: the nature of the Chinese economic response itself, and whether there is... https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3075354/coronavirus-and-financial-contagions-demand-joint-response-can?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3075354/coronavirus-and-financial-contagions-demand-joint-response-can?utm_source=rss_feed Tue, 17 Mar 2020 01:00:13 +0000 Now that the celebrations marking the 70th anniversary of the founding of the People’s Republic of China are over, it is time to direct attention back to the Sino-American trade war. That conflict may well be about to enter its endgame. Indeed, the next round of negotiations could be the last real chance to find a way through the trade, technology and wider economic imbroglio that has been engulfing both countries.  Failing that, the world should start preparing for its rockiest economic ride... https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3031948/china-and-us-have-perhaps-their-last-chance-end-trade-war-otherwise?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3031948/china-and-us-have-perhaps-their-last-chance-end-trade-war-otherwise?utm_source=rss_feed Tue, 08 Oct 2019 17:00:04 +0000 The Chinese economy has had a turbulent year, as growth slowed, economic reform stalled, and trade tension with the United States increased. However, China’s economic reformers see an opportunity in this adversity to reinvigorate internal reforms for long-term growth. Key to their success will be their ability to sell trade concessions sought by the US as beneficial to their reform agenda, while winning the confidence of a wary domestic private sector.  The push for economic reform dates back to... https://www.scmp.com/comment/insight-opinion/united-states/article/2178351/chinas-great-policy-correction-opening-economy?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/comment/insight-opinion/united-states/article/2178351/chinas-great-policy-correction-opening-economy?utm_source=rss_feed Mon, 17 Dec 2018 19:00:30 +0000 Armed conflict on the Korean peninsula is an increasing possibility, but not a probability. I judge that the possibility is somewhere above 25 per cent, but less than the 50 per cent spoken of by others. But I’m worried that this number continues to edge upwards. This reassessment has been driven in large part by the advances in North Korea’s military capabilities – most recently the launch of the Hwasong-15 intercontinental ballistic missile, which many analysts believe has the range to strike... https://www.scmp.com/comment/insight-opinion/article/2124883/six-steps-stopping-second-war-between-north-korea-and-us?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/comment/insight-opinion/article/2124883/six-steps-stopping-second-war-between-north-korea-and-us?utm_source=rss_feed Tue, 19 Dec 2017 09:28:10 +0000 Given North Korea, how can we save Asia’s “long peace”? Right now, the world is legitimately focused on the emerging North Korean nuclear crisis. This has been a crisis long in the making, beginning with the Soviet training of North Korean nuclear scientists and engineers after the second world war, the North’s expulsion of inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Agency in 2002, and the subsequent series of ballistic missile and nuclear weapons tests. The uncomfortable truth is that, for... https://www.scmp.com/comment/insight-opinion/article/2110656/economic-integration-wont-shield-asia-war-truly-pan-asian?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/comment/insight-opinion/article/2110656/economic-integration-wont-shield-asia-war-truly-pan-asian?utm_source=rss_feed Mon, 11 Sep 2017 08:35:45 +0000