https://www.scmp.com/rss/510864/feed Michael Zhou is pursuing a master of science in contemporary Chinese studies at the University of Oxford. Michael’s research interests lie in examining US-China strategic competition, particularly the role of Chinese historical analogies in China’s foreign policy and international relations. He also takes an interest in understanding China’s contemporary soft power strategy in Southeast Asia. en https://assets.i-scmp.com/static/img/icons/scmp-meta-1200x630.png https://www.scmp.com If the leaders in Zhongnanhai have agreed on a list of top priorities for China this year, armed reunification with Taiwan is unlikely to appear on that list. The war in Ukraine has raised speculation about an imminent Chinese invasion of Taiwan, which Beijing considers a renegade province. However, Beijing is not likely to make a move on the island any time soon because it is not in China’s strategic interest to do so. Three reasons explain why. First, international opinion of China has become... https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3173757/three-reasons-china-will-not-forcibly-reunify-taiwan-any-time-soon?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3173757/three-reasons-china-will-not-forcibly-reunify-taiwan-any-time-soon?utm_source=rss_feed Mon, 11 Apr 2022 23:30:14 +0000 History informs foreign policy decisions. Today, historical analogies such as the Thucydides trap, World War I and the Cold War are used to describe and understand US-China strategic competition and its implications for the rest of the world. But the above analogies, which are derived from Western historical contexts, may have less influence on and relevance for China’s foreign policy decisions. China’s leaders have openly rejected these analogies. In a 2015 speech, President Xi Jinping... https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3150233/china-history-matters-still-century-humiliation?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3150233/china-history-matters-still-century-humiliation?utm_source=rss_feed Tue, 28 Sep 2021 01:15:10 +0000