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    <title>BCA Research - South China Morning Post</title>
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    <description>The latest news and top stories on BCA Research. A leading entity in the financial research sector, BCA Research, based in Montreal Canada, specialises in providing global investment research and strategy advice. It primarily serves investment professionals including asset managers, hedge funds and central banks. Known for its independent high quality macroeconomic insights and a proven track record of accurate market calls, BCA Research has been a leading independent investment research firm...</description>
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      <author>Nicholas Spiro</author>
      <dc:creator>Nicholas Spiro</dc:creator>
      <description>For a moment on March 9, it seemed like global investors were starting to get to grips with the scale and severity of the economic fallout from the rapidly escalating war in Iran. At one point, Brent crude, the global benchmark, surged to nearly US$120 a barrel, double the level it was trading at in early January.
Yet no sooner did US President Donald Trump try to allay fears in markets by announcing that the war would be over “very soon” than prices fell back to below US$90. Since then, they...</description>
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      <pubDate>Thu, 12 Mar 2026 08:30:08 +0000</pubDate>
      <title>Iran war disruption just one of many threats to global markets</title>
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      <author>Ji Siqi,Mia Nurmamat</author>
      <dc:creator>Ji Siqi,Mia Nurmamat</dc:creator>
      <description>The escalating conflict in the Middle East – which is sending oil prices soaring and disrupting shipping traffic along the Strait of Hormuz – should not pose an immediate threat to China’s crude supply, but will add urgency to the country’s energy security drive, analysts said.
Since the United States and Israel launched strikes against Iran over the weekend, commercial traffic has largely come to a standstill along the Strait of Hormuz – a waterway linking the Persian Gulf with the Indian Ocean...</description>
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      <pubDate>Mon, 02 Mar 2026 12:00:08 +0000</pubDate>
      <title>Iran conflict will accelerate China’s push to become an ‘energy powerhouse’, analysts say</title>
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      <author>Kandy Wong</author>
      <dc:creator>Kandy Wong</dc:creator>
      <description>Bilateral trade between China and Russia reached its highest level of the year in July, with the latest customs data coming as US President Donald Trump has hinted that China could be next to join India in facing a 25 per cent punitive tariff over continued purchases of Russian oil.
Total trade between China and Russia stood at US$19.14 billion in July, up 8.7 per cent from June, according to figures from China’s General Administration of Customs released on Thursday. But that marked a 2.8 per...</description>
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      <pubDate>Thu, 07 Aug 2025 14:00:13 +0000</pubDate>
      <title>China-Russia trade hits 2025 high as Trump hints at 25% tariff over Russian oil imports</title>
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      <author>Kandy Wong</author>
      <dc:creator>Kandy Wong</dc:creator>
      <description>Even in the face of threats by US President Donald Trump to levy tariffs on countries that import Russian goods, analysts expect that China “will not stop” buying oil from its northern neighbour, given their mutually beneficial relationship of energy cooperation.
Oil from Russia will continue to flow south over the long run because “China’s strategic goals require a stable and secure supply of critical resources such as oil”, said Matt Gertken, chief geopolitical strategist at BCA Research in...</description>
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      <pubDate>Tue, 05 Aug 2025 14:00:08 +0000</pubDate>
      <title>Trump tariff threats loom over China’s Russian oil purchases, following his move on India</title>
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      <author>Kandy Wong,Luna Sun</author>
      <dc:creator>Kandy Wong,Luna Sun</dc:creator>
      <description>Washington is widely expected to push China to commit to “large purchases” of US goods during trade negotiations in Sweden this week, but customs data shows that Chinese imports of a slew of American commodities have plunged or even halted entirely in recent months.
Officials from Beijing and Washington begin a crucial third round of trade talks in Stockholm on Monday, with many analysts predicting the US side will focus on securing Chinese agreements to import more American oil, liquefied...</description>
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      <pubDate>Mon, 28 Jul 2025 14:00:15 +0000</pubDate>
      <title>China’s imports of US goods plunge amid trade war, complicating ‘phase 2’ deal</title>
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