https://www.scmp.com/rss/522597/feed Carnegie Endowment for International Peace: A prominent Washington, D.C.-headquartered non-profit international affairs think tank, the Carnegie Endowment is dedicated to advancing global peace and cooperation. Founded in 1910 by Andrew Carnegie, it operates as a global network of policy research centres across Europe, Asia, and the Middle East. Its main activities involve independent analysis, research, and policy recommendations on critical international issues such as nuclear policy,... en https://assets.i-scmp.com/static/img/icons/scmp-meta-1200x630.png https://www.scmp.com Meredith Chen Meredith Chen Whether the US-Israeli war on Iran wraps up quickly or drags on, the repercussions will be felt for years, reshaping warfare, geopolitics and energy security as well as how the world sees the United States and its tactical and strategic capabilities. In the second of a three-part series, we examine some of the implications likely to unfold over months and years, affecting the future of conflict in an increasingly unstable world. As the United States and Israel wage war on Iran, they are also... https://www.scmp.com/news/china/military/article/3349261/missile-barrage-iran-continues-what-it-teaching-china-about-us-war-resilience?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/news/china/military/article/3349261/missile-barrage-iran-continues-what-it-teaching-china-about-us-war-resilience?utm_source=rss_feed Tue, 07 Apr 2026 22:00:12 +0000 Jane Cai,Alcott Wei Jane Cai,Alcott Wei Beijing should shift its strategy and improve ways to attract and retain top Chinese AI professionals as America’s accelerating integration of artificial intelligence into military and national security systems puts such talent in a bind. As geopolitical tensions rise, many highly skilled Chinese researchers working at US tech and research institutions are confronting a painful dilemma, according to Dai Mingjie, a researcher at the Institute of Public Policy at the Guangzhou-based South China... https://www.scmp.com/news/china/politics/article/3349047/how-can-beijing-attract-top-tier-chinese-ai-professionals-based-abroad?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/news/china/politics/article/3349047/how-can-beijing-attract-top-tier-chinese-ai-professionals-based-abroad?utm_source=rss_feed Sun, 05 Apr 2026 04:00:18 +0000 Anthony Rowley Anthony Rowley The law of unintended consequences, a theory popularised by American sociologist Robert K Merton, has rarely been more applicable to any situation than to US President Donald Trump’s war with Iran. Those consequences will be far greater than generally imagined. Their impact will fall heavily on Asia, the world’s most energy-import-dependent region and will almost certainly hurt US ally Japan more than it will the US’ main rival, China. Indeed, China may even emerge from the crisis with an... https://www.scmp.com/opinion/asia-opinion/article/3348014/asia-worst-effects-trumps-war-iran-are-yet-come?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/opinion/asia-opinion/article/3348014/asia-worst-effects-trumps-war-iran-are-yet-come?utm_source=rss_feed Sat, 28 Mar 2026 08:30:08 +0000 Xinmei Shen Xinmei Shen There is little chance the US could bring China to the table on any nuclear arms control agreements in the short term, despite upcoming leaders’ meetings this year, experts said on Tuesday, as the Trump administration pushes for a trilateral deal including China after the previous US-Russia treaty expired last month. There is “no shortage of good ideas” for how the upcoming summit between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping could move the world towards ending a nuclear... https://www.scmp.com/news/china/military/article/3347775/us-unlikely-get-china-join-new-nuclear-arms-control-agreement-say-experts?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/news/china/military/article/3347775/us-unlikely-get-china-join-new-nuclear-arms-control-agreement-say-experts?utm_source=rss_feed Tue, 24 Mar 2026 23:02:23 +0000 Lucy Quaggin Lucy Quaggin Washington’s China policy lacks strategy, coherence and a clear framework in US President Donald Trump’s second term, mirroring his first, according to a former senior official in the Joe Biden administration. Former Biden officials, speaking at a Carnegie Endowment for International Peace event on Tuesday, said there was little evidence of systemic policy when they assumed power in early 2021, after Trump’s first term, a pattern that appeared to be repeating itself. “There were themes about how... https://www.scmp.com/news/us/article/3347772/trumps-china-policy-lacks-strategy-and-coherence-former-biden-officials?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/news/us/article/3347772/trumps-china-policy-lacks-strategy-and-coherence-former-biden-officials?utm_source=rss_feed Tue, 24 Mar 2026 22:00:13 +0000 Seong Hyeon Choi Seong Hyeon Choi Zhao Tong is a senior fellow with the Nuclear Policy Programme at Washington-based think tank the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, and its East Asia-based research centre on contemporary China, Carnegie China. His research focuses on strategic security issues, including nuclear weapons policy, deterrence, arms control, non-proliferation, missile defence, hypersonic weapons, regional security in the Asia-Pacific, and China’s security and foreign policy. This interview first appeared in... https://www.scmp.com/news/china/military/article/3346215/why-iran-strikes-may-drive-asian-nuclear-race-hit-china-middle-east-zhao-tong?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/news/china/military/article/3346215/why-iran-strikes-may-drive-asian-nuclear-race-hit-china-middle-east-zhao-tong?utm_source=rss_feed Sun, 15 Mar 2026 22:00:10 +0000 Reuters Reuters Talks to advance US President Donald Trump’s plan to ⁠end the Gaza war have been on hold since last week when the US and Israel jointly attacked Iran, sparking a broader Middle East war, three sources with direct knowledge of the negotiations said. The pause threatens to stall implementation of Trump’s flagship Middle East peace initiative, which he has cast as a major foreign policy objective. It comes less than a month after he secured billions of dollars in pledges for Gaza from Gulf Arab... https://www.scmp.com/news/world/middle-east/article/3346040/trumps-gaza-plan-hold-iran-war-halts-disarmament-talks?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/news/world/middle-east/article/3346040/trumps-gaza-plan-hold-iran-war-halts-disarmament-talks?utm_source=rss_feed Tue, 10 Mar 2026 03:33:18 +0000 Mark Magnier Mark Magnier Combine three wary nations, deep historical mistrust, rapid technological change, the most destructive weapons ever developed and a US unwilling to extend Thursday’s last formal nuclear weapons guardrail, and you have the ingredients for much worse geopolitical tension, if not a slide towards global disaster, warn nuclear weapons negotiators, analysts and former government officials. While Moscow has offered to formally extend its New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (New Start) with the US for... https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3342576/trump-balks-nuclear-limit-extension-calls-new-us-china-russia-deal?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3342576/trump-balks-nuclear-limit-extension-calls-new-us-china-russia-deal?utm_source=rss_feed Fri, 06 Feb 2026 00:02:50 +0000 Amber Wang Amber Wang China on Tuesday urged the United States to “respond positively” to Russia’s offer to maintain nuclear warhead limits ahead of Thursday’s expected collapse of a major US-Russia agreement to control nuclear build-up. Beijing also reiterated its refusal to join trilateral nuclear disarmament negotiations with Washington and Moscow, despite repeated calls for such talks by US President Donald Trump. China cited the disparity in nuclear stockpile sizes as the reason for its refusal. Absent a... https://www.scmp.com/news/china/military/article/3342278/why-collapse-last-us-russia-nuclear-treaty-matters-china-and-world?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/news/china/military/article/3342278/why-collapse-last-us-russia-nuclear-treaty-matters-china-and-world?utm_source=rss_feed Tue, 03 Feb 2026 13:41:16 +0000 Vanessa Cai Vanessa Cai US President Donald Trump’s Board of Peace is unlikely to pose a credible challenge to the United Nations, analysts say. They also warn that legal ambiguity, as well as doubts over credibility and funding, make the initiative’s long-term viability uncertain. Beijing was likely to respond cautiously but might also see some advantages if Washington’s attention was diverted elsewhere, leading to China potentially taking on a more proactive role in some regional security matters, they said. The... https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3342092/trumps-peace-board-no-match-un-and-possible-boon-china-analysts-find?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3342092/trumps-peace-board-no-match-un-and-possible-boon-china-analysts-find?utm_source=rss_feed Mon, 02 Feb 2026 15:00:11 +0000 Cao Jiaxuan Cao Jiaxuan Nearly three-quarters of Americans expect China to overtake the US in power and global influence at some point – if it has not done so already, according to a survey by a US foreign policy institute. Releasing the results of a national poll earlier this month, the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace said 47 per cent of the 1,500 adults surveyed agreed that China had already surpassed the United States or would do so within the next five years. A further 27 per cent said the shift would... https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3341712/do-americans-think-china-will-overtake-us-results-survey-are?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3341712/do-americans-think-china-will-overtake-us-results-survey-are?utm_source=rss_feed Thu, 29 Jan 2026 14:00:23 +0000 Kolette Lim,Aidan Jones Kolette Lim,Aidan Jones Southeast Asian countries invited to join Donald Trump’s proposed “Board of Peace” should think carefully before entering what looks like a “more exclusive version” of the United Nations Security Council with the US president in ultimate control, analysts caution. Singapore, Thailand, Indonesia and Vietnam are among about 60 countries that have reportedly received invitations, alongside South Korea and India. The initiative, presented by Trump as a new international body to promote global... https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/politics/article/3340651/why-southeast-asia-wary-trumps-pay-play-global-peace-board?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/politics/article/3340651/why-southeast-asia-wary-trumps-pay-play-global-peace-board?utm_source=rss_feed Wed, 21 Jan 2026 06:30:10 +0000 Maria Siow Maria Siow A week-long naval exercise off the South African coast involving the navies of China, Russia and the UAE has stirred debate over whether the primary purpose of Brics is evolving in the emerging post-Western global order. The exercise, held from January 9 to 16 under the banner “Will for Peace 2026”, was described by host nation South Africa as a routine maritime safety and interoperability operation. Officials said the drills aimed to improve coordination in protecting shipping routes and... https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/politics/article/3340195/will-peace-drills-brics-tests-waters-military-cooperation?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/politics/article/3340195/will-peace-drills-brics-tests-waters-military-cooperation?utm_source=rss_feed Sat, 17 Jan 2026 04:00:08 +0000 Seong Hyeon Choi Seong Hyeon Choi China’s omission of the term “denuclearisation of the Korean peninsula” from a new policy paper suggests its “tacit acceptance” of North Korea as a nuclear-armed state, as Beijing gives priority to its strategic rivalry with Washington, according to analysts. Late last month, China released a white paper on arms control, disarmament and non-proliferation, outlining its national defence and nuclear policies. The document was an update of a 2005 white paper and contained a notable shift – within... https://www.scmp.com/news/china/military/article/3335406/china-shifting-its-policy-and-accepting-north-korea-nuclear-armed-state?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/news/china/military/article/3335406/china-shifting-its-policy-and-accepting-north-korea-nuclear-armed-state?utm_source=rss_feed Sat, 06 Dec 2025 04:00:14 +0000 Khushboo Razdan Khushboo Razdan US President Donald Trump’s new national security strategy frames America’s allies not just as partners, but as instruments to preserve US primacy and counter China’s rise, analysts say. The strategy urges wealthy allies to increase defence spending, align more closely with Washington on measures such as export controls, and take greater responsibility for their regions, a shift that recasts long-standing alliances as tools in great-power competition. The 33-page document declares that the era... https://www.scmp.com/news/us/article/3335432/trumps-security-playbook-recasts-us-allies-tools-counter-china-analysts?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/news/us/article/3335432/trumps-security-playbook-recasts-us-allies-tools-counter-china-analysts?utm_source=rss_feed Fri, 05 Dec 2025 22:31:21 +0000 Seong Hyeon Choi Seong Hyeon Choi US President Donald Trump’s call to “immediately” resume testing of nuclear weapons, citing Beijing and Moscow’s rapid nuclear build-up, could drive China to “accelerate” its own efforts to develop its strategic forces, according to analysts. On Thursday, Trump posted on social media that he had instructed the Pentagon to start testing US nuclear weapons “on an equal basis” with Russia and China because of “other countries’ testing programmes”. “That process will begin immediately,” Trump said... https://www.scmp.com/news/china/military/article/3331115/will-trumps-call-resume-nuclear-testing-fuel-us-china-arms-race?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/news/china/military/article/3331115/will-trumps-call-resume-nuclear-testing-fuel-us-china-arms-race?utm_source=rss_feed Sat, 01 Nov 2025 14:30:23 +0000 Meredith Chen,Zhao Ziwen,Fan Chen Meredith Chen,Zhao Ziwen,Fan Chen US President Donald Trump hailed his high-stakes meeting on Thursday with Chinese leader Xi Jinping as a “great success”, marked by progress on thorny trade issues. Trump agreed to reduce America’s fentanyl-related tariffs on China by 10 percentage points and cut the overall tariff rate on Chinese imports from 57 per cent to 47 per cent. For its part, Beijing will resume buying US farm products, including soybeans, and delay by one year the implementation of its most sweeping export controls on... https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3331093/how-are-leading-western-think-tanks-unboxing-xi-trump-summit-breakthroughs?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3331093/how-are-leading-western-think-tanks-unboxing-xi-trump-summit-breakthroughs?utm_source=rss_feed Fri, 31 Oct 2025 10:40:56 +0000 Amber Wang,Seong Hyeon Choi Amber Wang,Seong Hyeon Choi China is expected to expand and modernise its nuclear arsenal to narrow the gap with the US and Russia following Beijing’s fresh pledge to strengthen its “strategic deterrence” to safeguard the global balance, according to analysts. The pledge was part of the proposed 15th five-year plan which was endorsed last week by the Communist Party’s Central Committee and will cover the years 2026-2030. Details of the proposal were released on Tuesday, including a pledge to “strengthen strategic... https://www.scmp.com/news/china/military/article/3330774/chinas-next-5-year-plan-aims-narrow-nuclear-gap-us-and-russia-analysts-say?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/news/china/military/article/3330774/chinas-next-5-year-plan-aims-narrow-nuclear-gap-us-and-russia-analysts-say?utm_source=rss_feed Wed, 29 Oct 2025 15:00:19 +0000 Alyssa Chen Alyssa Chen Beneath the vast expanse of the Pacific Ocean lie small, black, potato-sized treasures – polymetallic nodules rich in valuable metals and rare earth elements – waiting to be unearthed. Strewn across the sea floor of the Pacific, Atlantic and Indian oceans, the coveted nodules and other forms of ocean deposits are gaining widespread attention. Yet for all their vast potential, deep-sea mining remains off-limits for now. The obstacle is not merely technological feasibility but a lack of legal... https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3327260/why-china-struggles-us-plunges-deep-sea-mining-valuable-metals-and-rare-earths?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3327260/why-china-struggles-us-plunges-deep-sea-mining-valuable-metals-and-rare-earths?utm_source=rss_feed Tue, 30 Sep 2025 22:00:10 +0000 Mark Magnier Mark Magnier As world leaders descend on New York this week, blocking traffic and frustrating local residents, expect widely divergent messages from Washington and Beijing at the UN General Assembly, deep anxiety over institutional reform and fundamental questions about the organisation’s future on its 80th anniversary. Despite US President Donald Trump’s globally unpopular tariffs, norm-breaking policies and destabilising pullback from the global body, Beijing has not rushed to fill the leadership vacuum –... https://www.scmp.com/news/china/article/3326430/un-general-assembly-will-china-rise-fill-us-void-created-trump?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/news/china/article/3326430/un-general-assembly-will-china-rise-fill-us-void-created-trump?utm_source=rss_feed Mon, 22 Sep 2025 13:39:22 +0000 Shi Jiangtao Shi Jiangtao US President Donald Trump’s summit in Alaska last month with Russian leader Vladimir Putin failed to revive long-stalled nuclear negotiations or advance efforts to preserve the last major arms control pact between Washington and Moscow, which is set to expire in February. Trump’s subsequent push for trilateral “denuclearisation” talks involving China elicited a firm refusal from Beijing, underscoring challenges to extending the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (New START) amid fears of a... https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3326243/can-us-russia-and-china-break-their-nuclear-talks-impasse?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3326243/can-us-russia-and-china-break-their-nuclear-talks-impasse?utm_source=rss_feed Sat, 20 Sep 2025 22:00:21 +0000 Meredith Chen Meredith Chen The United States has stopped issuing official statements about the passage of its warships through the Taiwan Strait since Donald Trump returned to the White House – a move some analysts believe is designed to dampen down tensions with Beijing. Such transits were announced regularly while Joe Biden was president, but since Trump’s return there have only been three known operations. Beijing has long complained about the “public hype” surrounding such operations, but despite the apparent... https://www.scmp.com/news/china/military/article/3326248/why-has-us-grown-quieter-about-sending-its-warships-through-taiwan-strait?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/news/china/military/article/3326248/why-has-us-grown-quieter-about-sending-its-warships-through-taiwan-strait?utm_source=rss_feed Sat, 20 Sep 2025 14:00:11 +0000 Amber Wang Amber Wang The debut of the Jinglei-1 (JL-1) long-range missile means China has a complete air, sea and land nuclear deterrent, one that will improve with the next generation of strategic bombers, according to analysts. The JL-1 is a nuclear-capable air-launched ballistic missile (ALBM) and debuted during Beijing’s military parade last week. It appeared alongside land-based intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) and submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs) – the first time that China has publicly... https://www.scmp.com/news/china/military/article/3325073/will-jl-1-missile-be-chinas-final-word-airborne-nuclear-deterrence?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/news/china/military/article/3325073/will-jl-1-missile-be-chinas-final-word-airborne-nuclear-deterrence?utm_source=rss_feed Wed, 10 Sep 2025 22:00:13 +0000 Vincent Chow Vincent Chow Chinese artificial intelligence start-up DeepSeek has lifted the veil on how it filters data to train its models, raising red flags about “hallucination” and “abuse” risks. In a document published on Monday, the Hangzhou-based start-up said it “has always prioritised AI security” and decided to make its disclosure to help people use its models, at a time when Beijing is ramping up oversight over the industry. The company said data in the pre-training stage was “mainly” collected from publicly... https://www.scmp.com/tech/tech-trends/article/3324149/deepseek-sheds-light-data-collection-ai-training-and-warns-hallucination-risks?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/tech/tech-trends/article/3324149/deepseek-sheds-light-data-collection-ai-training-and-warns-hallucination-risks?utm_source=rss_feed Wed, 03 Sep 2025 10:00:13 +0000 Yujie Xue,Victoria Bela,Dannie Peng Yujie Xue,Victoria Bela,Dannie Peng China, the biggest maker of batteries for electric vehicles (EVs) and energy storage, is in a leading position in the new race to develop two new technologies – sodium-ion batteries and solid-state. The new technologies hold out the promise of lower costs, higher capacity and less fire risk than traditional lithium-ion batteries, which could boost adoption of EVs and renewable energy sources. Energy-storage batteries are vital in managing fluctuating power supplies from weather-dependent solar... https://www.scmp.com/plus/article/3317638/china-plugs-next-generation-batteries?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/plus/article/3317638/china-plugs-next-generation-batteries?utm_source=rss_feed Thu, 10 Jul 2025 07:00:07 +0000 Imran Khalid Imran Khalid At the World Economic Forum’s “Summer Davos” meeting in Tianjin last month, Premier Li Qiang said that China is evolving into a “mega-sized consumption powerhouse”. This was more than a rhetorical flourish. It marked a reaffirmation of Beijing’s long-standing ambition to change its growth model, placing domestic demand, rather than exports or real estate, at the heart of the economy. This vision is not new. Policymakers have been talking about rebalancing for over a decade. But the timing of... https://www.scmp.com/opinion/china-opinion/article/3316994/will-chinas-bid-boost-domestic-demand-pay?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/opinion/china-opinion/article/3316994/will-chinas-bid-boost-domestic-demand-pay?utm_source=rss_feed Sun, 06 Jul 2025 12:30:08 +0000 Tom Hussain Tom Hussain Two weeks after the United States launched air strikes on three of Iran’s key nuclear sites, mounting evidence is puncturing President Donald Trump’s boasts that the facilities were “obliterated”. From the head of the United Nations’ nuclear watchdog to leading American non-proliferation experts, scepticism is growing over Washington’s assertions that the strikes set back Tehran’s nuclear weapons ambitions “by years”. Trump “appears to have already lost interest”, according to Barbara Slavin, a... https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/politics/article/3317017/think-trump-obliterated-irans-nuclear-programme-dont-be-so-sure?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/politics/article/3317017/think-trump-obliterated-irans-nuclear-programme-dont-be-so-sure?utm_source=rss_feed Sat, 05 Jul 2025 08:30:14 +0000 Hayley Wong Hayley Wong Instead of crushing Tehran’s nuclear programme, Israeli and US strikes on Iranian facilities in the past week might have dealt a blow to international nuclear non-proliferation efforts. Analysts warned that the attacks might not only encourage Iran to accelerate its nuclear weapon programme, but also prompt countries such as China and North Korea to expand their deterrence efforts. The pre-emptive strikes also risked setting a precedent for US adversaries to justify similar action against any... https://www.scmp.com/news/china/military/article/3316141/will-us-strikes-iran-push-china-and-north-korea-ramp-their-nuclear-arms-programmes?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/news/china/military/article/3316141/will-us-strikes-iran-push-china-and-north-korea-ramp-their-nuclear-arms-programmes?utm_source=rss_feed Fri, 27 Jun 2025 14:00:07 +0000 Amber Wang,Enoch Wong Amber Wang,Enoch Wong Chinese defence experts expressed scepticism about US President Donald Trump’s claim that air strikes had “obliterated” Iran’s biggest nuclear facilities, following reports that core components of Tehran’s nuclear assets remained intact. The mainland is believed to have the world’s most extensive underground bunker systems and has developed its own bunker-­busting weapons, with ambitions to target facilities including those deep within the mountains of Taiwan. CNN reported on Tuesday that an... https://www.scmp.com/news/china/military/article/3315830/did-us-strikes-wipe-out-irans-nuclear-facilities-chinese-military-experts-sceptical?utm_source=rss_feed https://www.scmp.com/news/china/military/article/3315830/did-us-strikes-wipe-out-irans-nuclear-facilities-chinese-military-experts-sceptical?utm_source=rss_feed Wed, 25 Jun 2025 14:25:32 +0000