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Chinese Super League
SportFootball
Opinion
Jonathan White

Get ready for new Chinese Super League champions: Guangzhou Evergrande run will be stopped say Fifa 19 and Football Manager

Who is going to win the 2018 title? No one knows so we ran season simulations, asked the bookies and checked the stats

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We looked to computer simulations, databases and bookmakers to try to predict who will come out on top in this year’s Chinese Super League.
Formerly of the South China Morning Post, Jonathan White has written about sport from China for nearly 15 years, and covered the Beijing 2008 Olympics, the Fifa World Cup in Brazil in 2014 and the Tokyo 2020 Olympic Games.
This Chinese Super League season is officially the hardest fought title race of the Guangzhou Evergrande era. Wins for leaders Shanghai SIPG and the champions means that the four-point margin remains with five games to go and Evergrande are yet to have reached the summit this season. Over the last 26 weeks, Shanghai SIPG have been top for 14, Beijing Guoan for 10 and Shandong Luneng for two.

In 2015, when Evergrande were run close by SIPG, this matchweek was the one that they reached the summit to stay there for the remainder of the campaign. The earliest that can happen now is week 27. The question is whether they manage that or if this is the season that their run of titles is ended.

With the jury out on whether they can continue their phenomenal title run or not, it seemed time to turn to the prediction professionals: Fifa 19, Football Manager 18, stats website FiveThirtyEight and the bookmakers.

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The final standings in our Football Manager 2018 simulation of the CSL season.
The final standings in our Football Manager 2018 simulation of the CSL season.

The management simulation

Football Manager’s thousands of scouts around the world have created a peerless game database so well regarded that professional clubs have used it for their own recruitment. They should have a pretty good idea of who might come out on top.

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The set-up for this game was that the FM18 engine was started at the beginning of 2018 and that no teams were selected as user controlled. In fact, the manager went “on holiday” until December to see the final league table. The teams all started with the squads as of the end of the 2017 season.

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