CrossFit Games: will Mat Fraser and Tia-Clair Toomey win again, or are we in for upsets in 2020?
- The two reigning champions are expected to win, of course, but who could provide us with an upset?
Before the 2019 CrossFit Games, the sport went through a massive overhaul which divided the community and its athletes. Regionals were gone, replaced with Sanctionals. More than 100 country champions were crowned from all over the world.
On top of this, four-time individual winner Rich Froning won the team spot with CrossFit Mayhem, which came as a surprise to no one.
Without a team competition this year, we are left with only the men and women, and for argument’s sake, let us assume Fraser and Toomey somehow do not do what everyone is expecting them to do, and uncharacteristically drop the ball in the online competition, or the in-person finals.
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Who does that leave as potential winners? American Ohlsen, who came second after holding the lead for a substantial part of the 2019 competition, has to be respected. He got a taste of what it’s like to be atop the leaderboard, which not a lot of men have experienced during Fraser’s remarkable reign, so he knows what to expect if he finds himself in the driver’s seat again.
Ohlsen’s buddy, Chandler Smith, 27, is an up and coming contender and came 15th last year at his first appearance at the Games. Inexperience may be his Achilles’ heel, but the online competition probably adds a different type of pressure than live competitions.
But herein lies the complications of 2020 and the pandemic. If Gudmundsson makes the top five, will he even be able to travel from Iceland to California to compete, and if so, will mandatory quarantining and the logistical nightmare play into his performance?
On the women’s side, it is the same story. Toomey will most likely win again, but if not, who could we expect to unseat her? The first mention has to go to Iceland’s Sara Sigmundsdottir, who was on an absolute tear before the pandemic shut the sport down. She had won two Sanctionals (Ireland and Dubai), and crushed the Open by winning it for the second year in a row.
There is also the fact that when she did meet Toomey in person at Wodapalooza in Miami in February, which was one of the last Sanctionals to go off before the pandemic, Toomey did what champions do and beat her.
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When it comes to both the men and women, this year has to favour the Americans and US-based competitors. Not only do they have generally favourable time zones when it comes to the online competition, getting to California in October will be easy and relatively pain free.
Fraser and Toomey are probably putting some finishing touches on their preparations together, as they train side by side in the US, so betting against them is not recommended.
But if 2020 has taught us anything, it’s to expect the unexpected. Just do not expect perennial champions like Fraser and Toomey to let a wild ride of a year throw them off course without a fight.