Members Day is going to feature some very short-priced favourites and Jumbo Luck looks like being one of them in the Members Cup (1,200m) at Sha Tin on Sunday.
He won’t be as short as the opening favourite but punters looks certain to rally behind Jumbo Luck (Joao Moreira) in the main event after his walk in the park to score last start over the same distance.
Moreira took the Francis Lui Kin-wai-trained four-year-old to the front last time, removing luck from the equation out of a wide draw, and it was a procession.
Jumbo Luck didn’t really need to do his best to win after controlling the speed and romped away from what was, in truth, just an average Class Four field but he did it very easily.
He rises to Class Three but doesn’t face much more of a task as his opposition is mostly made up of horses out of form, yet to strike form or, like Arm Runda (Umberto Rispoli), looking held at the ratings off good recent form.
Jumbo Luck looks the right horse in the right race and the betting will reflect that too.
Although he led last time, Jumbo Luck is not one-dimensional, as he showed winning early in the season sitting off the speed and finishing impressively, so Moreira will have all the options from a better gate.
There are potential leaders drawn outside him like Mythical Emperor or even Fionesay, so Moreira will bounce out looking to assess how the race is going to set up for speed and he can be wherever he needs to be.
Jumbo Luck has looked a horse with some promise in his handful of starts and appears on his way into Class Two so this looks the ideal stepping stone.
Horses like Arm Runda, Star Of Joy (Zac Purton) and Hair Trigger (Sam Clipperton) deserve respect in the race but the main danger to the favourite may come from a less well-advertised quarter.
Travel Datuk (Karis Teetan) was ill-advisedly ridden for speed when he dropped back to 1,000m last time out with an apprentice aboard but he might improve sharply here ridden more patiently by the senior jockey.
Travel Datuk has run some very good races in recent starts, before his latest, finding the line well even when the pace of his races has not been kind to finishers.
Gate one gives him the chance to sit midfield here and finish off and he may be chasing shadows if Jumbo Luck gets a soft run up front but, with the lightest handicap in the race he has a chance to knock off the favourite if things don’t go to the script.