Even Monaco coach Leonardo Jardim rates it as only a one in 20 shot.
And many would say that is an optimistic view of his young side’s chances of overturning a 2-0 deficit against Juventus in the second leg of their Champions League semi-final on Tuesday.
The free-scoring French champions-in-waiting have struck three goals 27 times this season.
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But nobody has managed that against a Juve defence that has conceded twice only five times in 51 outings in this campaign, has not lost at home in 20 months and has leaked only two goals in 11 Champions League matches.
The stats are even more compelling when the ‘Old Lady’ has been at full strength, as she was when she snuffed out Monaco’s attacking threat in the Riviera principality last week, or when Leo Messi and co. were neutralised in a quarter-final demolition job on Barcelona.
Juventus did most of the hard work at the Stade Louis II in Monaco last week. Photo: AFP
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Against that backdrop, Jardim said his primary task has been to instil a belief in his squad that they are not contesting a dead rubber.