How the World Cup became a political football as Qatar crisis fuels calls for change of venue
Will the 2022 World Cup need to find a new host country? Simon Chadwick takes a look at the controversial decision to host in the gulf state, and those that would see it played elsewhere
This is not only wishful thinking among Qatar’s sternest critics, but also somewhat premature (the 2022 World Cup is still more than five years away). That said, the rumours about a new host being found warrant further examination and are not without some substance.
Qatar has at times had a fractious relationship with the countries now severing links to the world’s richest per capita nation. Indeed, back in 2014 there was a similar diplomatic spat which resulted in Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain withdrawing their diplomats from Doha.
Whatever the explanation, the current diplomatic action being taken against Qatar has resulted in land, sea and air blockades being imposed. In addition, commercial contracts have been terminated; in sport for example, Saudi Arabian football club Al Ahli immediately terminated its shirt sponsorship deal with Qatar Airways, while Asian Champions League games are being moved away from Doha.
At the very least, ahead of the World Cup Qatar will have to address and resolve its differences with the likes of Bahrain and the United Arab Emirates. Since 2010’s award of the tournament, the country’s Supreme Committee has positioned it as a regional rather than purely a domestic event. This is no surprise, as Qatar is a country of little more than 2.4 million people whereas Saudi Arabia (the only country with which it shares a land border) has a football crazy population of almost 32 million.
People will therefore need to be able to travel to the World Cup which, if there are flight bans, will prove difficult. Similarly, with food shortages looming in Qatar, the last thing Fifa will want is for thousands of fans and officials to potentially go hungry in 2022.
Yet there are more pressing short-term issues facing Doha’s government, particularly stadium construction. With only one World Cup venue thus far completed, the country is dependent upon concrete and steel imports to complete the rest of the stadiums. The current ban on such imports is likely to be stalling the country’s building programme.
A tangible threat to 2022 thus exists, though one must question how serious it is. Qatar has put staging football’s biggest tournament at the heart of both its industrial vision and its national sports strategy. As such the country will be loathe for anything to undermine or threaten its staging of the World Cup. Not only is there the potential for embarrassment and reputational damage, the tournament is also being used as one of the principle drivers for many of its civic infrastructure developments.
Nevertheless, the mega-event has also been a means through which Qatar has sought to assert its regional and international presence. This may be one possible source of current problems, particularly in the way that it has brought about, at least from a Qatari perspective, an unfortunate alignment of several factors. Among these are Saudi Arabian agitation with its neighbour; a bellicose Donald Trump’s recent visit to the region; and a more general and continuing irritation with Fifa’s award of the 2022 tournament to Qatar.
A common denominator across these three factors is the United States. Trump’s recent visit to the region appears to have been marked by a sharp change in US policy direction on Qatar. This is unsurprising given the hawkish anti-Doha sentiment that characterises some of Trump’s advisory team. This seems to have emboldened Saudi Arabia and its allies, resulting in a turbulent past few weeks in which Qatar has become embroiled in several diplomatic incidents.
Qatar’s World Cup has always been somewhat politicised, but recent events appear to have intensified this feeling. Indeed, rather than being at the centre of a regional political spat, it now seems to have become the pawn in an intricate network of competing geopolitical interests.
With countries such as the UAE stepping-up their anti-Qatar measures, and Iran and Turkey intervening to support the Doha government, little could Fifa have known how profound its 2022 hosting decision would ultimately become.
This piece is published in partnership with Policy Forum (www.policyforum.net), an academic blog based at the Australian National University’s Crawford School of Public Policy.