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Tesla’s Musk predicts AI will be smarter than the smartest human next year

  • Musk said training the Grok 2 chatbot model took about 20,000 Nvidia H100 GPUs, adding that the Grok 3 model and beyond will require 100,000 Nvidia H100 chips
  • Speaking about electric-vehicles, Musk reiterated Chinese carmakers are ‘the most competitive in the world’ and pose ‘the most toughest competitive challenges’

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Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla and owner of X, formerly known as Twitter, attends the Viva Technology conference in Paris, France, on June 16, 2023. Photo: Reuters

Tesla CEO Elon Musk on Monday predicted development of artificial intelligence (AI) that was smarter than the smartest human probably by next year, or by 2026.

In a wide-ranging interview on X spaces that suffered multiple technology glitches, Musk also told Norway wealth fund CEO Nicolai Tangen that AI was constrained by the availability of electricity and that the next version of Grok, the AI chatbot from his xAI start-up, was expected to be trained by May.

“If you define AGI (artificial general intelligence) as smarter than the smartest human, I think it’s probably next year, within two years,” Musk said when asked about the timeline for development of AGI.

The billionaire, who also co-founded ChatGPT creator OpenAI, said a lack of advanced chips was hampering the training of Grok’s version 2 model.

Musk founded xAI last year as a challenger to OpenAI, which he has sued for abandoning its original mission to develop AI for the benefit of humanity and not for profit. OpenAI denies the allegations.

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