Advertisement
Singapore
This Week in AsiaEconomics

Singapore economy: leaders ease recession fears as US-China trade war bites

  • Deputy prime minister Heng Swee Keat and the trade and industry minister have both emphatically underlined the island nation’s economic strength
  • But analysts say its crucial manufacturing sector, hit by the tariff tiff between Washington and Beijing, is likely to stay weak in 2019

Reading Time:3 minutes
Why you can trust SCMP
Economists are offering almost unanimously offering bleak readings of Singapore’s second quarter gross domestic product, which is estimated to be up just 0.1 per cent year on year. Photo: Bloomberg
Dewey Simin Beijing
Senior Singaporean government officials on Friday played down fears of a looming full-blown recession after economic growth hit a fresh decade low, but market watchers warned there would be no silver linings unless global trade improved.
The Lion City’s crucial manufacturing sector is reeling from the US-China trade war, leading economists to almost unanimously offer bleak forecasts for the year based on Friday’s early estimates of second quarter GDP – up just 0.1 per cent year on year.

But deputy prime minister Heng Swee Keat wrote on Facebook that the government was “not expecting a full-year recession at this point”, and said instead that there remained “areas of strength” in the entrepot economy.

[Singapore is] not expecting a full-year recession at this point
Deputy prime minister Heng Swee Keat

The gloomy growth figures were even slower than the 1.2 per cent on-year growth recorded in the year’s first quarter, the previous low point for the past 10 years.

Heng, also finance minister, said the data reflected “heightened uncertainties and risks in the global economy, especially with the US-China trade relations”.

Advertisement

If that was not emphatic enough, trade and industry minister Chan Chun Sing also saw fit to weigh in. Also writing on Facebook, he said the steady pipeline of foreign direct investment this year gave confidence to the government that it was on the right track.

“Companies looking for a stable political environment, pro-business ecosystem, skilled workforce, progressive regulations, superior connectivity and rule of law, still see Singapore as an attractive destination,” Chan said.

Advertisement

Heng is the designated successor to Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong, who is poised to step down after the country’s impending elections. Chan is widely seen as the island nation’s next No 2 leader.

Few among the analysts who spoke to This Week in Asia struck a similar upbeat note.

Advertisement
Select Voice
Choose your listening speed
Get through articles 2x faster
1.25x
250 WPM
Slow
Average
Fast
1.25x