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Coronavirus pandemic
This Week in AsiaEconomics

Singapore expects spike in job losses as coronavirus pandemic hits demand and economists predict ‘darkest year’ ahead

  • Government policies to safeguard jobs could see retrenchments affecting foreigners more, leading to knock-on effects on the rental market
  • Singapore is bracing for a deeper-than-expected recession with people saving instead of spending even after circuit-breaker measures are lifted

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The Merlion Park waterfront stands empty in Singapore, as citizens and visitors stay away during the coronavirus circuit breaker measures, which are having a negative impact on economic activity in the city state. Photo: Bloomberg
Dewey Sim
Singapore on Wednesday reported a slight uptick in overall unemployment but analysts warned it was the start of a rocky road ahead with full-year retrenchments possibly hitting 200,000 and those keeping their jobs facing steep wage cuts.

Senior economist Irvin Seah of DBS Bank, the city state’s largest bank, said in a research note on Monday that export-reliant Singapore, whose economy is a bellwether for the health of global trade, would experience its “darkest year … since independence”.

The overall seasonally adjusted unemployment rate rose to 2.4 per cent in March, up from the 2.3 per cent in December, according to figures released by the Ministry of Manpower (MOM). This figure is below the record-high 4.8 per cent unemployment reported in 2003, just after the severe acute respiratory syndrome (Sars) epidemic, and the 3.3 per cent during the 2009 global financial crisis.

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People wearing masks walk past in closed stores in Busgis street in Singapore. Photo: EPA-EFE
People wearing masks walk past in closed stores in Busgis street in Singapore. Photo: EPA-EFE

The ministry reported that the jobless rate for Singaporeans crept up to 3.5 per cent from 3.3 per cent, while the rate for residents rose to 3.3 per cent, from 3.2 per cent.

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Unemployment has also risen elsewhere in the region, with Hong Kong’s first quarter jobless rate rising to 4.2 per cent, the highest in more than nine years, while Japan’s March jobless rate rose to a one-year high of 2.5 per cent.
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