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India can’t go ‘cold turkey’ on Chinese goods so trade keeps flourishing despite deep freeze in ties

  • Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi wants to promote self-reliance and reduce dependence on China for raw materials and components
  • But it’s going to take time, as India’s factories rely heavily on Chinese inputs to make finished products and medicines

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Chinese President Xi Jinping and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi at a BRICS summit. Photo: AP
Diplomatic relations between India and China have been in a deep freeze due to the ongoing border stand-off in the Himalayas, but two-way trade has continued to flourish.
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According to the latest official figures, the value of India’s imports from China leapt more than 66 per cent year-on-year to US$27.66 billion between April and July. Part of the import spike was driven by pandemic-related medical purchases, but Ajay Sahai, director general of the Federation of Indian Export Organisations (FIEO), expects bilateral trade to stay strong.

“Our trade with China is happening,” Sahai said. “It’s business as usual. I’m not seeing any impact on the dynamics of business demand.”

The value of India’s exports to China, meanwhile, jumped almost 22 per cent to US$8.89 billion in the April-July period. Last year, China supplanted the US and regained its place as India’s top trading partner with bilateral trade worth US$77.7 billion.

These trends are at odds with growing anti-China sentiment in India, reflected in community associations declaring boycotts of Chinese products and scenes of Indians hurling Chinese-made televisions off their balconies after Prime Minister Narendra Modi said India should reduce commerce with its neighbour and become self-reliant in production.
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However, Sahai said India’s goal was never to go “cold turkey” on buying Chinese goods in its push for self-reliance but to gradually reduce dependency on Chinese imports for key sectors such as electronics, drug ingredients and telecoms equipment.

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