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This Week in AsiaEconomics

Can India’s Modi win over allies to press ahead with economic reforms after election?

  • While PM Narendra Modi may not have won a parliamentary majority, he could still succeed in implementing reforms if history is a guide

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India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi flashes a victory sign as he arrives at the Bharatiya Janata Party headquarters to celebrate the party’s win in the country’s general election. Photo: AFP
Biman Mukherji
India’s markets may have been volatile in recent days after Prime Minister Narendra Modi delivered a subpar showing at the general election but the country’s economic growth trajectory and Modi’s commitment to reforms remain on course despite new challenges under a coalition government, according to analysts.

Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), which emerged the winner but fell well short of its target of an overwhelming parliamentary majority, is expected to be sworn into office this weekend with the support of allies under the National Democratic Alliance (NDA).

Earlier television exit polls had indicated a landslide BJP win, driving the benchmark S&P BSE Sensex to an all-time high of 76,738.89 on Monday, only to plunge the next day after the election results were announced.
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The index rose again on Wednesday after two key allies reaffirmed support for the BJP-led coalition government, and continued rising on Thursday, hovering around 75,074.51 in mid-afternoon Mumbai time.

“We expect policy continuity, especially with regard to budgetary emphasis on infrastructure spending and boosting domestic manufacturing to support robust economic growth,” said Christian de Guzman, a senior vice-president at Moody’s Ratings.

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“However, the NDA’s relatively slim margin of victory as well as the BJP’s loss of its outright majority in parliament may delay more far-reaching economic and fiscal reforms that could impede progress on fiscal consolidation,” he said.

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