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How China can win a ‘trade war’ between Japan and South Korea

  • Chinese companies including Huawei are well-placed to capitalise as Seoul and Tokyo take aim at each other’s tech firms, analysts say
  • Meanwhile, Beijing’s diplomats have another reason to smile

Reading Time:4 minutes
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Analysts say that if global microchip supply lines are threatened, Chinese firms like Huawei may benefit. Photo: Reuters
An escalating “trade war” between Japan and South Korea could be good news for China, both economically and diplomatically, observers say.

With Tokyo’s export restrictions on South Korean firms likely to prove mutually destructive, Chinese manufacturers could gain a competitive edge, according to analysts, while the souring of relations between two key US allies is likely to leave Beijing’s diplomats rubbing their hands.

On Tuesday Tokyo vowed to stand behind its decision to restrict exports vital to its neighbour’s tech industry, despite a claim by Trade Minister Hiroshige Seko that it was “open to talks”. This suggested it had been unmoved by South Korean President Moon Jae-in’s threat that Seoul was prepared to take “necessary countermeasures”.
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The deepening row promises a headache not only for South Korean tech behemoths like Samsung and LG Display – both of which are heavily reliant on Japanese suppliers – but also for Japanese firms, which will need to find new customers and could see their own supply chains disrupted if relations continue to sour.

Analysts believe among Seoul’s likely countermeasures would be a block on OLED screen exports to Japan, which would hit Japanese firms’ ability to produce high-end TV sets.
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With the tit-for-tat measures compromising the tech industries of both countries, experts say Chinese manufacturers – and particularly the country’s nascent semiconductor industry – would be among the best placed to fill the void.

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