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As Delta Covid-19 variant keeps Hong Kong, Australia and New Zealand on edge, could Israel and Britain offer lessons?

  • The rapid spread of a more contagious virus variant is a stark reminder to zero-Covid places that border and movement restrictions are no substitute for mass immunisation
  • Britain and Israel, which are leading global vaccination rates, have seen outbreaks but fewer deaths and hospitalisations

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Diners at a restaurant in London, England. Photo: Reuters
From Australia to Hong Kong, the highly transmissible Delta coronavirus variant is exposing the vulnerability of zero-Covid economies with low vaccination rates.
While many Asia-Pacific economies have controlled the pandemic with strict border controls, the rapid spread of the variant has provided a stark reminder that temporary restrictions are no substitute to mass immunisation.
At the same time, the experiences of highly-vaccinated countries such as Britain and Israel, where deaths from the variant remain low despite surging cases, offer hope of an exit for low-Covid bubbles counting the costs of their self-imposed isolation as much of the world looks towards post-pandemic normality.

Australia, which has been widely held up as a pandemic success story, has in recent days placed more than 10 million people in lockdown as the Covid-19 strain first identified in India fuels outbreaks from coast to coast.

“Until we have a high rate of vaccination, we are in an unstable and vulnerable position, and we have to not lose sight of this,” said Hassan Vally, an epidemiologist at La Trobe University in Melbourne. “The Delta variant and the increased threat it poses has highlighted this fact.”

The Delta variant, which is circulating in at least 85 countries, is believed to be 60 per cent more transmissible than the Alpha variant first identified in Britain, which in turn is about 50 per cent more infectious than the original Covid-19 strain recorded in Wuhan.

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Covid-19 Delta variant: how infectious it is and how it may ‘shift thinking’ on countries reopening

Covid-19 Delta variant: how infectious it is and how it may ‘shift thinking’ on countries reopening

On Tuesday, Brisbane began a three-day lockdown after an unvaccinated hospital worker tested positive for the virus, following similar orders in recent days in Sydney, Perth and Darwin.

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