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This Week in AsiaHealth & Environment

In Japan, fears of ‘inevitable’ Mount Fuji eruption spur Tokyo to map out disaster plan

The revised plan details everything from clearing key roads to stockpiling masks and goggles, as Tokyo prepares for a worst-case scenario

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A woman crosses a street in Fujiyoshida, around 95km outside Tokyo, with Mount Fuji in the background. Photo: AFP
SCMP’s Asia desk

As Mount Fuji looms tranquilly over Tokyo’s skyline, city officials are racing to prepare for a disaster that has not struck in more than three centuries – but could happen “at any time”.

For the first time, authorities in Japan’s capital have mapped out exactly how they would evacuate millions if the dormant volcano awakens, in an overhaul of the city’s disaster playbook.

The Tokyo Metropolitan Government’s new volcano disaster prevention plan outlines which roads will be cleared first and specifies evacuation protocols, in a departure from previous, more general guidelines.

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This update, the second in just four months, was prompted by concerns within the metropolitan government that earlier versions of the “Tokyo Regional Disaster Prevention Plan Volcano Edition” lacked sufficient detail and were “too vague” to offer real reassurance or guidance, The Mainichi newspaper reported.

Mount Fuji has not erupted in over 300 years … but an eruption could happen at any time
Tokyo government official

The initial revision, published in May, drew on a report by the national Central Disaster Management Council from 2020, which modelled a worst-case scenario of persistent west-southwest winds for 15 days, depositing an estimated 120 million cubic metres (4.2 billion cubic feet) of volcanic ash over Tokyo – enough to blanket most of the city, which lies 100km (62 miles) east of Mount Fuji, under 2cm to 10cm (0.8 inches to four inches) of ash.

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