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Pakistan
This Week in AsiaOpinion
Arif Rafiq

Asian Angle | Why a warmer US-Pakistan relationship is a win for China

  • Donald Trump and Imran Khan were all smiles when they met earlier this week, suggesting a ‘reset’ between the countries
  • Pakistan’s security and stability are of utmost importance to China, as its investment – physical and reputational – expands rapidly

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US President Donald Trump and Prime Minister Imran Khan of Pakistan shake hands during their July 22 meeting. Photo: EPA
During his Oval Office meeting with Pakistan’s Prime Minister Imran Khan on Monday, United States President Donald Trump characteristically abandoned the script and hailed the Pakistani leader as “great” and “tough”, even promising to help get the former cricketer re-elected. Clearly, the tortured, roller coaster US-Pakistan relationship is back on.
The new bilateral bargain seems to be this: if Islamabad can deliver Washington an honourable exit from Afghanistan that addresses its main counterterrorism concerns, the Trump administration will, in turn, restore military aid and take active steps to expand trade.
Against the backdrop of the intensifying US-China rivalry, Washington’s relationship with Islamabad is of particular consequence for Beijing, given the decades-long alliance between China and Pakistan.

On the whole, Beijing benefits from better relations between Islamabad and Washington. Chinese officials have regularly counselled their Pakistani counterparts to preserve ties with the US, even in the aftermath of the Osama bin Laden raid, which humiliated Pakistan. Deep mutual trust underpins the China-Pakistan relationship, so renewed communication between Islamabad and Washington is unlikely to make Beijing anxious – although China’s hand has been strengthened by their strained relations in the past.

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Repeated suspensions of US military assistance have pushed Islamabad further into Beijing’s arms, driving the overall surge in Chinese weapons exports. From 2008-17, Pakistan was the No 1 buyer of Chinese arms sales, with its expenditure of about US$6 billion, accounting for 42 per cent of China’s total weapons sales.

Pakistan’s Gwadar port is part of the China Pakistan Economic Corridor, which is linked to Beijing’s belt and road infrastructure initiative. Photo: Xinhua
Pakistan’s Gwadar port is part of the China Pakistan Economic Corridor, which is linked to Beijing’s belt and road infrastructure initiative. Photo: Xinhua
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More generally, China’s flexibility has allowed it to position itself as a less intrusive partner than the West. Its willingness to provide countries with infrastructure financing without requiring environmental standards and to sell arms without regard for human rights violations underpins its soft power.

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