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Opinion | Why China’s new hydropower project could have security implications for India

  • Beijing’s planned dam on the Yarlung Tsangpo river (the Brahmaputra in India) could be another sore point between the neighbours, who are locked in a border dispute
  • New Delhi’s security concerns include China’s geoengineering and weather modification programmes and the sudden release of water

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The Yarlung Tsangpo River flows through Tibet before entering India. China’s plans for a dam risk further inflaming tensions with its neighbour. Photo: Xinhua
China’s announcement last month that it is set to build a major hydropower project on the Yarlung Tsangpo River (known as the Brahmaputra in India) is of security concern to India and has the potential to become another sore point between the neighbours, which have been locked in a deadly border stand-off in Ladakh since May.
On November 29, Yan Zhiyong, chairman of the Power Construction Corp of China, outlined the country’s intent to build a dam that would generate 60 gigawatts (GW) of electricity, triple that of the Three Gorges Dam.

From its source in the Himalayas in Tibet, the 2,900km Yarlung Tsangpo/Brahmaputra flows eastward, then turns sharply in what is known as the Great Bend, before rushing through one of the most dramatic gorges in the world and entering India at Gelling in Arunachal Pradesh. This gorge, locally known as the Grand Canyon, is where China intends to build the dam, according to reports.

The path of the Yarlung Tsangpo/Brahmaputra River. Graphic: SCMP
The path of the Yarlung Tsangpo/Brahmaputra River. Graphic: SCMP

Water and arable land are limited resources in China, despite its size. It has 20 per cent of the global population but just a third of the arable land per person compared with the rest of the world, and less than 0.7 per cent of available fresh water.

China is already the world’s largest energy consumer, and its emphasis on economic development, power generation expansion and the use of green technologies implies a substantial rise in water consumption by 2035. It is therefore looking to augment its water supplies.

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