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Malaysia
This Week in AsiaOpinion
Khairy Jamaluddin

Asian Angle | Malaysia’s Anwar has to navigate dangerous undercurrents ahead of key state elections

  • PM Anwar has his work cut out to improve his coalition’s Malay vote share in the coming state polls, with Selangor and Negeri Sembilan marked as key battlegrounds
  • Deputy PM Zahid and jailed ex-leader Najib are among other headaches for Anwar, whose support may erode if Umno becomes an electoral liability during the elections

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Malaysia’s Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim must now work to increase his coalition’s vote share on the Malay ground ahead of the state elections. Photo: Bernama/dpa
Having consolidated his position as Malaysia’s prime minister with the passing of his maiden budget in parliament, Anwar Ibrahim now has an added spring in his step following a well-received visit to China.
While he failed to secure meetings with top Saudi Arabian leaders on an earlier trip, he delivered in China. In addition to meetings with President Xi Jinping and new Premier Li Qiang, Anwar secured 170 billion ringgit (US$38.6 billion) worth of investment deals. In essence, he was able to achieve in a single visit more than ex-leader Najib Razak, who was lauded for upgrading bilateral relations with China.
With some deliverables on the table, Anwar is now less worried about his administration’s viability. He is now focused on governing and crafting a narrative for Malaysia’s place in the world at a time of geopolitical tensions. Anwar has also spent the fasting month of Ramadan running a busy schedule, breaking fast with different segments of society every night.

Yet, dangerous undercurrents lurk below the calm waters. In a few months, Malaysia will head to a set of state-level elections. Six states are up for grabs – three held by Anwar’s Pakatan Harapan (PH) coalition and three by the Islamic party, Parti Islam SeMalaysia (PAS), which is part of the Perikatan Nasional (PN) opposition coalition. The states concerned – Kedah, Terengganu, Kelantan, Penang, Selangor and Negeri Sembilan – are a cross-section of Malaysia’s diversity. In other words, the results will be representative of what the country thinks – at least on the peninsula.

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These elections will lay bare Anwar’s greatest challenge – increasing his coalition’s vote share on the Malay ground.

With PH’s Malay vote share during last year’s polls estimated to be less than 15 per cent, it will be impossible for Anwar to secure any of the northern states, so he will have to keep an eye on his own strongholds, especially Selangor.

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PN has also borrowed a leaf from Anwar’s playbook while in opposition. Without the need to carry the hard realities of being in government, it is championing populist causes such as pushing for Malaysians to be allowed to make withdrawals from their pension accounts.
Malaysia’s deputy prime minister Ahmad Zahid Hamidi. Photo: Reuters
Malaysia’s deputy prime minister Ahmad Zahid Hamidi. Photo: Reuters
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