Can Nato manage its ambitions in Southeast Asia, where memories of colonialism linger?
- Nato looks to venture into Indo-Pacific and deepen European involvement in Asia’s security but it remains widely distrusted in the non-Western world
- Asian governments want the US in the region to balance China’s power, but that does not mean they want a European military alliance in their region
Japan argues that the war in Ukraine has destabilised the world, and has invited Nato into the Indo-Pacific to deter China. However, Nato is widely distrusted in the non-Western world.
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China fuels regional prosperity
Most Southeast Asian states have set aside their historical grievances with the West. They are committed to an international system that – somewhat accidentally – has served them well.
Regional states are concerned about the rise of China and its acts of intimidation. Yet China is the No 1 trading partner of most Asian states. Regional prosperity depends on China’s success.
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Southeast Asians’ perception of a predatory international system is based on their experiences with European colonialism. Their focus on protecting state sovereignty is directly linked to this history. Their stated preference is to build economic and diplomatic connections to manage regional conflict.
China has also prospered under the existing system and has a stake in its continuation.
But it is considered a threat because it will not be subservient to a Western power, especially America.
Consequently, it has been encircled by more than 300 American military bases and subjected to intense US economic and technological sanctions.
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Century of humiliation
Chinese nationalism has been stoked by what is known as the “century of humiliation” from 1839 to 1949, when European powers, the US and Japan took part in seizing Chinese territory, imposing unequal treaties and brutalising the Chinese people.
Nato is a European military alliance that is establishing a strong working relationship with Japan. This plays directly into China’s concerns that the same powers that humiliated it in the past are lining up for a second attempt.
Asian states that find the Russian explanation for the war in Ukraine plausible will clearly be concerned that Nato’s move into the region is duplicating the same hostile dynamic of backing an adversary into a corner.
For the past several centuries, world politics has been defined by Western colonialism and violence. That era never really ended.
After World War II, Europe passed the torch of global Western imperialism to the US. Since the end of the Cold War, the US – often assisted by Nato states – has frequently engaged in illegal violence around the world, most notably with its invasion of Iraq.
Therefore, it is not surprising Nato claims that it is merely a “defensive alliance” are viewed sceptically in the non-Western world.
What is surprising is that Western powers seemingly cannot understand why their insistence that they represent a “rules-based international order” fails to resonate with much of the globe.
Nato’s growing presence in the Pacific evokes a painful history that the Western world has never confronted or fully acknowledged. Nato ignores how its recent actions affect how it is perceived in the larger world and how those actions lend credence to states that see Nato as a threat.
Its presence in the Indo-Pacific can easily be construed as a new attempt to reassert Western military domination of the region.